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Technology Stocks : Semi Equipment Analysis -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Gottfried who wrote (1785)1/26/2002 10:38:52 PM
From: Return to Sender  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 95638
 
Oh well he probably will be right within the time table that he meant to state but did not. You know how revisionistic people can be. For instance lets suppose for a minute that AMAT does trade higher as I expect it will over the next week and a half.

Would you be surprised if it traded back down to 40 again on Feb 15 when options expire?

On another subject as of the close on Friday we still had 18 out of 184 stocks listed as semiconductors here at Silicon Investor as having RSI's of 20 or lower.

These are the stocks: AXTI BESI CREE DPAC EMKR HELX HIFN IBIS LOGC MSCC OPTI POWI QSND SMDI SMTL SSTI TSEM TUNE

Yahoo Charts with Kirk Parameters:

finance.yahoo.com^SOXX+QQQ&d=c&k=c3&a=r14&p=b,v&t=3m&l=on&z=m&q=c

<g>RtS



To: Gottfried who wrote (1785)1/30/2002 8:15:36 PM
From: Return to Sender  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 95638
 
From Briefing.com: Close Dow +144.62 at 9762.86, S&P +12.59 at 1113.23, Nasdaq +20.45 at 1913.44: A very volatile morning with the market and particularly the tech dominated Nasdaq generally on the defensive into midday. The market got little mileage out of the surprising strength in the early Q4 Advance GDP report despite the fact that the number (+0.2%) was well above the consensus estimate of -1.1%. Much of the unexpected strength was the result of heavy government spending and gains in durable orders (auto financing deals) and this may have kept investors from becoming overly enthusiastic about the data. Also continuing to cast a pall over the market, at least in the morning, were accounting worries. Speculation/reports that additional companies were under scrutiny for accounting problems were noted about Anadarko Petro (APC -1%)-- will be restating Q3 EPS and taking a $1.57 bln after tax charge, and Elan (ELN -16.9%)-- WSJ article questioned accounting practices. The afternoon saw a significant improvement in the semiconductor sector which seemed to coincide with a comment out of the BofA Technology conference from Applied Materials (AMAT +4.4%). The company's CFO said that capital spending will lag the semi mkt recovery, but spending growth should accelerate in 2H02 (noted that wafer fab revs should grow 53% in 2H02 over 1H02). While this news may not be new, it added to the growing chorus within the semi industry saying that the cycle bottomed around September 2001. A larger than expected drawdown in inventory levels also sparked a sharp turnaround in energy. The rally continued after the as expected Fed announcement (no policy change and a bias toward easing) with the bullish momentum lifting the market broadly higher into the close. Market internals turned favorable during the late run with volume on the heavier side. In a bit of an unusual development, the NYSE volume kept pace with the Nasdaq throughout the day (186 mln shares of TYC changed hands vs the 65 day average of 19 mln).DOT -2.2%, SOX +4%, XOI +0.7%, NYSE Adv/Dec 1895/1214, Nasdaq Adv/Dec 1936/1623

4:48PM Amkor Tech misses EPS estimate, beats rev (AMKR) 18.00 +0.06: -- Update -- Reports Q4 pro forma loss of $0.63, $0.04 worse than the Multex consensus; revs were $352 mln, higher than consensus of $344.0 mln.

4:20PM O2Micro beats by two cents (OIIM) 20.60 -0.20: Reports Q4 (Dec) earnings of $0.07 per share, $0.02 better than the Multex consensus of $0.05; revenues rose 36.3% year/year to $15.4 mln vs the $14.2 mln consensus. No guidance in press release.

3:41PM Nasdaq back above 1900 level : -- Technical -- Index has made an impressive recovery off its intraday low at 1851. Has just cleared resistance at 1900 -- look for modest subsequent overhead at 1911 followed by more significant overhead in the range of 1918/1922. Market internals have shifted from solidly bearish readings for the better part of the session to flat neutral going into the close.

2:35PM Vitesse Semi (VTSS) 12.19 -0.27: Stock has spiked higher after the co reportedly endorsed the mid- to high-end range of their guidance (for which fiscal period we don't know) at the BofA Technology conference.

1:48PM Micron to host analyst meeting Feb. 1 (MU) 31.20 +0.71: -- Update -- Company announces it will hold an analyst meeting on Friday, February 1st; officers will make presentations and respond to questions regarding Micron and current market conditions.

12:27AM Applied Materials says spending should accelerate in 2H02 (AMAT) 41.69 +0.38 (+0.9%): -- Update -- During their presentation to the BofA Technology 2002 conference, the CFO says that capital spending will lag the semi mkt recovery, but spending growth should accelerate in 2H02 (noted that wafer fab revs should grow 53% in 2H02 over 1H02). While this news may not be new, it adds to the growing chorus within the semi industry saying that the cycle bottomed around September 2001

finance.yahoo.com^SOXX+^IXIC&d=c&k=c3&a=r14&p=b,v&t=3m&l=on&z=m&q=c

Gottfried is this also true for the SOX?

AD, in the two cycles past the stock never looked back after two consecutive increases in SEMI orders were reported. We have one to go.

suite101.com

Thanks, RtS