MARKET TALK: Outlook Cuts Into VeriSign Shares
25 Jan 14:19
Edited by Thomas Granahan Of DOW JONES NEWSWIRES (Call Us: 201 938-5299; All Times Eastern) MARKET TALK can be found using code N/DJMT 2:18 (Dow Jones) VeriSign (VRSN) shares are off 7% after reporting in-line 4Q results but lowering its 2002 outlook. Thomas Weisel analyst Tim Klasell cut his rating to attractive from buy and reduced his 2002 estimates. He cited weakness in VeriSign's mass markets unit, which includes the domain-name retail business. He also cut his price target to $40 from $65. On the other hand, Bear Stearns analyst Chris Kwak was "heartened" by VeriSign's cash flow, which rose from 3Q. He also boosted his 2002 earnings view, but mostly because he'll now factor in a lower tax rate. (PDL) 2:10 (Dow Jones) Entrepreneurs continue to gravitate toward sectors poised to benefit from technological and regulatory changes, a survey from vFinance.com (VFIN) shows. The utilities industry, powered by a surge in interest in alternative energy, showed a 140% jump in entrepreneurial activity in December compared to November. That was followed by the metals and mining industry, with a 100% increase, and materials and construction, which rose 75%. For the fourth straight month, the computer software and services industry remained the most popular market segment for entrepreneurs seeking funding. But the sector showed a 25% decrease in activity from November, and a 32% drop from its October peak.
(JAW) 1:58 (Dow Jones) For investors hoping that Nortel's (NT) new HDX optical switch, which is in customer trials, would start to bolster the firm's network business later this year, think again. HSBC analyst Paul Howbold believes that Lucent (LU) is set to officially launch next week its new Lambda Unite optical switch, making for an increasingly competitive market. Ciena's (CIEN) Coredirector is the market leader and Alcatel (ALA) also sells a competing product known as the 1680 OGX. In this environment, Howbold advises "investors to temper expectations of a major HDX sales ramp" in the second half of the year. (BED) 1:46 (Dow Jones) Robert Trumka, secretary-treasurer of AFL-CIO, urges chairman of Motorola (MOT) nominating committee that Ronnie Chan not be renominated to another term as a Motorola director unless Chan, who's also an Enron (ENRNQ) director, "can show he personally took meaningful steps to protect Enron investors." (JCC) 1:37 (Dow Jones) Lazard Freres analyst James Winchester raised his price target on Royal Caribbean Cruises (RCL) to $19 from $16, while maintaining his hold rating. The increase was based on the probability of a merger with P&O Princess Cruises (POC), he said. The analyst also narrowed his 4Q loss projection to 16 cents from 22 cents, and raised his 2002 earnings estimate to 84 cents a share from 65 cents. RCL up 2% at $17.81. (DDO) 1:24 (Dow Jones) Bankers say they still plan to bring the Alliance Medical IPO next week, but what the offering looks like will likely change. Talk is that Alliance is readying a new filing with the SEC and that the price terms of the deals will be reduced. As it stands, Alliance is trying to sell 4 million shares at between $14 and $16 a share through UBS. (RJH) 1:09 (Dow Jones) To reach its goal of $6.6 billion in cash flow over six years, Eastman Kodak (EK) would have to see 12% annual earnings growth beyond 2003 - a target that Salomon Smith Barney analyst Jonathan Rosenzweig found "hard to swallow." He also doubted that Kodak could realize low-to-mid-single digit growth at its conventional film and camera businesses, considering that those operations are "most subject to cannibalization" by digital products. He kept his neutral rating and 12-month price target of $30 on the stock. Shares up 1.7% at $28.73. (DDO) 12:53 (Dow Jones) Mirroring the stock market's plunge and the downturn in the economy, 25% fewer entrepreneurs sought funding in 2001 comparedto 2000, a new survey from vFinance.com Inc. (VFIN) shows. "Entrepreneurial sentiment seems to be in lockstep with the Nasdaq," says Dave Spector, a vice president with the financial services company. "It really shows that a lot of entrepreneurs are looking at cashing out via an IPO." (JAW) 12:46 (Dow Jones) It seems like deja vu. RSA Security's (RSAS) CEO mentioned in passing during Thursday's 4Q conference call the company is under formal SEC investigation. But RSA failed to include this important bit of information in its 4Q press release. And what does the investigation concern? The SEC appears to be looking into whether the company should have disclosed an accounting change last year in a press release, instead of waiting until later and mentioning it in a requlatory filing. The probe also concerns trading in the company's securities. The stock is down 30%. (RS) 12:35 (Dow Jones) Stocks acting pretty well, led by some old economy groups - chemicals, metals, railroads and insurance are on top. Honeywell and DuPont are on top of DJIA, and Nasdaq Comp just turned positive. SOX up 2.3%,and Intel is moving higher. DJIA up 93 to 9889, Nasdaq gains 1 to 1943, and S&P 500 adds 5 to 1137. (TG) 12:23 (Dow Jones) If the economy recovers, food stocks are unlikely to outperform the market. That's part of the reason why Goldman food analyst Romitha Malley lowered her investment opinion on the entire packaged foods sector Friday to market weight from market overweight. Slowing earnings growth and "less compelling" valuations also were factors. But given that Goldman's economists now expect the economy to recover sooner than they first thought, that really does not bode well for food stocks, which historically "thrive in a recession," notes Malley. "We believe that some exposure to food stocks is still warranted since there is enough uncertainty in the world to warrant some caution." Her top picks are Kraft (KFT) and Sara Lee (SLE). (CEG) 12:12 (Dow Jones) Sen. Jean Carnahan, D-Mo., is proposing legislation in response to Enron (ENRNQ) mess to require information about sales of company stock by executives of publicly traded corporations to be filed electronically and made available instantly to the public via the Internet. (JCC) 11:59 (Dow Jones) Hold the paper shredder! Now we know who has a bit more pull among paper investors between Salomon Smith Barney and Deutsche Banc, at least today. In a duel, Salomon upgraded Georgia-Pacific (GP) while Deutsche Banc downgraded. The stock is up almost 9%. Two things in Salomon's favor: Investors are likely still pleased with GP's asbestos disclosure yesterday and the overall market is higher, pulling up all the cyclical paper stocks. (CCW) 11:51 (Dow Jones) Alcan (AL) execs did a good job controlling costs and managing cash flow in response to depressed aluminum demand and prices that plagued 2001, Lehman says. When economy rebounds, Lehman expects demand for aluminum to be very strong, as buyers have significantly reduced inventories during recent downturn. Keeps buy rating, valuation attractive. (TG) 11:29 (Dow Jones) ABN-Amro trims Qualcomm (QCOM) target to $52 from $56, 2002 EPS view to 91c from 99c, and 2003 outlook to $1.02 from $1.13. Keeps add rating, though, saying the shares should only face modest pressure in face of management's outlook (stock is actually up now), and longer-term fundamentals still look good. Shares up 0.2% at $43.79. (TG) 11:23 (Dow Jones) High-yield bond mutual funds reported their first cash outflows of the year as $266 million left the funds during the week ended Jan.
23, according to market researcher AMG Data Services. (JD) 11:07 (Dow Jones) Open TV (OPTV) extending plunge, down 17% at $6.97 after posting a 4Q net loss of $2.5M from a $2.4M loss last year, taking a $9.1M restructuring charge, shedding jobs. Analyst says shares mostly down on disappointing outlook. Open TV expects a net loss for the 1Q of this year between $10.5M and $11.5M. (MFV) 11:03 (Dow Jones) EUR/USD "is entering a very dangerous phase which could bring new lows," says a trader, who reckons the pair is preparing to test $0.8500-20. (GMM) (END) DOW JONES NEWS 01-25-02 02:19 PM |