As I said in that note, no one really knows what would have happened in the fullness of time had a different decision been made rather than using the terrorism of atomic weapons of mass destruction.
Absolutely! Of course! What was probable was determined by the Special report commissioned by the US Government.
It is probable that the Japanese would have surrendered before October was out. The report stated unequivocally that they WOULD have surrendered by December--regardless of the bombs, or the Russians--and irrespective of any possible invasion.
It is not at all likely that they would have decided, sometime after November, to invade (assuming that the almost certain surrender had not yet come). And, of course, by that time they would have had several bombs to use if anything appeared problematic.
It is not possible that they would have invaded and suffered a huge defeat from a country with only an army left and no air force or navy. It is not possible that the airforce that had leveled 66 cities to the ground to the point where they were unable to find any more military targets, did not have absolute control of the air. It is not possible that the navy which kept the Japanese islands totally embargoed and cut off from all supplies, did not have absolute control of the seas.
It is not possible that the US and Canada would be under Japanese ocupation if they had not wiped out a couple of more civilian cities in order to test the military specs on both Uranium and Plutonium weapons: If anything would have brought out the full superiority of the Japanese position; then one would suppose it would be just such an act.
History notes, however, that this did not produce a breaking of the sea embargo, nor the re-taking of Japanese skies. History notes that The Japanese did not occupy Canada or the States: And it was not because the two bomb drops just happened to have killed off the very fighters who were about to take back the skies and the seas.
The Japanese were in no position to beat anybody. They would not have allowed their country to be turned into a twisted desolation of starvation, disease, death, and ruination, if they had anything beyond their miltaristic pride, and their puffed up rhetoric.
And it is not possible that the biological and chemical weapons the Japanese were developing would have been completed and used on American cities with the loss of millions of American lives. Because they were going to surrender, and they were not going to come to America!! The allies had developed more mustard gas and other chemicals than you could shake a stick at. After the war, they dumped chemicals into every sea except the Artic.
"There had been a worry that, after their defeat in 1945, Germans could be tempted to use part of their arsenal, which totaled 296'103 tons. Therefore, the weapons were captured and dumped into the sea. There are more than 100 sea dumping of chemical weapons that took place from 1945 to 1970 in every ocean except the Arctic. 46'000 tons were dumped in the Baltic areas known as the Gotland Deep, Bornholm Deep, and the Little Belt. The Continental Committee on Dumping involved the US with 93'995 tons, France with 9'250 tons, Britain with 122'508 tons, and Russia with 70'500 tons.
The US dumped chemical weapons in the Scandinavian region, totaling between 30'000 and 40'000 tons, nine ships in the Skagerrak Strait and two more in the North Sea at depth of 650 to 1'180 meters.
The Russians alone have dumped 30'000 tons in an area, 2'000 square kilometres in size, near the Gotland and Bornholm Islands.
Between 1945 and 1949, the British dumped 34 shiploads carrying 127'000 tons of chemical (containing 40'000 tons mustard gas) and conventional weapons in the Norwegian Trench at 700 meters depth.
The chemical weapons at the bottom of the Baltic Sea (mean depth of the Baltic Sea is 51 meters) and the North Sea represent a serious danger for the aquatic life. The shells of the grenades corrode and will eventually start to leak. The corrosion of these weapons is already so advanced that identification of the former owners is virtually impossible. Consequently, nobody can be made nowadays responsible for the ultimate elimination.
During the 1950s, the US conducted an ambitious nerve gas program, manufacturing what would eventually total 400'000 M-55 rockets, each of which was capable of delivering a 5-kg payload of Sarin [10, 11]. Many of those rockets had manufacturing defaults, their propellant breaking down in a manner that could lead to auto ignition. For this reason in 1967 and 1968 51'180 nerve gas rockets were dropped 240 km off the coast of New York State in depths 1'950 to 2'190 meters, and off the coast of Florida.
The US is responsible for 60 sea dumping totalling about 100'000 tons (equal to 39 filled railroad box cars), of chemical weapons filled with toxic materials in the Gulf of Mexico, off the coast of New Jersey, California, Florida, and South Carolina, and near India, Italy, Norway, Denmark, Japan, and Australia."
History and the world notes that after the atomic bombs the angry Japanese were not provoked into using their superior air force, navy, army, or chemical weapons to overrun the US and Canada and force them to speak Japanese. Some people claim that this might have happened without the extra two cities being taken out and a few more lives added to the pile. But it did not happen, so why not??
Some people claim that they dropped the bombs so that they would not be forced to learn Japanese. Does this make any sense? If the Japanese position was so superior after having their country razed, and their air force and navy destroyed, and their supplies of food and essentials cut off...then why provoke their superior might by destroying two more civilian cities which had been saved for the bomb precisely because they posed no military threat?
But some people will say just about anything...whether what they are saying makes any sense or not.
Good comments, Yogi! |
