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Politics : The Donkey's Inn -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Mephisto who wrote (2539)2/1/2002 12:53:03 AM
From: Mephisto  Read Replies (4) | Respond to of 15516
 
The Limits of Power
Editorial

“ Mr. Bush appears to be developing an assertive new
military doctrine that includes the threat of armed
intervention against nations that are developing weapons
that MAY PUT THE UNITED STATES IN PERIL."

The New York Times
January 31, 2002

The application of power and
intimidation has returned to
the forefront of American foreign
policy. That was the
unmistakable message delivered by President Bush in his
State of the Union address when he labeled Iran, Iraq and
North Korea an "axis of evil" that he would not permit to
threaten the United States with chemical, biological and
nuclear weapons. Not since America's humiliating
withdrawal from Vietnam more than a quarter-century ago
has our foreign policy relied so heavily on non-nuclear
military force, or the threat of it, to defend American
interests around the world.

Mr. Bush appears to be developing an assertive new
military doctrine that includes the threat of armed
intervention against nations that are developing weapons
that may put the United States in peril The evolving Bush
Doctrine implies a pre-emptive use of conventional force to
take out missile launchers, industrial enterprises and
facilities that appear to be involved in the fabrication of
unconventional weapons. This is a radical departure from
what went before. Traditionally, the United States has
employed its military forces in retaliation for an attack
rather than striking first itself. That should not preclude
other options when there is a clear and present danger of
attack, but firing first is not a step to be taken lightly.

The apparent success of the Afghan campaign should not
encourage Mr. Bush to overreach. As much of the world
recognized, the attacks of Sept. 11 left the United States
no choice but to defend itself, as it has done by
dismantling the Taliban in Afghanistan and going after
Osama bin Laden and his followers. There may well be
circumstances that call for military action elsewhere in
the months ahead, perhaps even pre-emptive strikes.
Sept. 11, however, does not give Mr. Bush an unlimited
hunting license. As a number of his predecessors learned
to their and the nation's dismay, turning too quickly or
too frequently to the use of force can cost a president
support at home and damage American interests and
alliances abroad.

The muscular formulations used in the State of the Union
address — "I will not wait on events while dangers gather,"
Mr. Bush vowed — reflect a sense among the president
and his advisers that American power commands new
respect overseas these days. The quick, decisive American
action in Afghanistan, including the devastating use of
precision weapons, has clearly caught the attention of
other nations, especially those hostile to the United
States. Add the support Washington has received from
nations like Russia and China, and it is easy to see why
the Bush administration would conclude that this is a fine
time for Washington to brace Iran, Iraq and North Korea
with the threat of military attack.


The problem comes if the "rogue nations" do not blink and
Mr. Bush determines he has to use force to destroy the
weapons programs that diplomacy fails to control or
overthrow the governments that build them. The military
and political situations in the three countries differ. So
does the immediate danger their weapons programs
present. Indeed, Washington has been trying with mixed
success to improve relations with Iran and North Korea in
recent years.

Designing and executing a military attack, or a covert
intelligence operation, to disable weapons programs in
Iraq, Iran or North Korea would be challenging enough.
Trying to change the governments of those countries —
each far larger and militarily more powerful than
Afghanistan — would be harder still. Even if these goals
could be accomplished, there is no way to assure that the
backlash abroad would not be worse than the original
threats, including the loss of allied support, a deepening
of antagonism toward the United States and anarchy in
the target countries themselves.


The unrivaled might of America's armed forces can be a
powerful factor in world affairs, but it must be used
sparingly and wisely. Mr. Bush showed he understood
that in the early phases of the war against terrorism. He
must guard against the temptation to use power
promiscuously as the war evolves.


nytimes.com