To: kemble s. matter who wrote (168650 ) 2/5/2002 1:08:20 PM From: kaka Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 176387 Dell posted a 26.7 percent rise in 2001 PC shipments to grab a 4.4 percent share of the Japanese market. By contrast, domestic industry leaders NEC and Fujitsu were able to retain their respective number one and two spots, but saw their shipments fall 11 percent and 1.9 percent. Japan '02 domestic PC shipments seen down slightly By Daniel Hauck TOKYO, Feb 5 (Reuters) - Japan's domestic shipments of personal computers are expected to fall again in 2002, with a recovery in the battered domestic PC market not likely until the fourth quarter, an industry group said on Tuesday. The drop in 2002 shipments would follow a two percent decline in 2001, which was the first in three years, the Japan Electronics and Information Technology Industries Association (JEITA) said. A prolonged slowdown in information technology spending and Japan's slumping economy weighed on demand for PCs in 2001, and JEITA said it saw little reason to expect the market to improve until the latter part of 2002. "It will be difficult to see a "plus" in the first half of the year," said Masatsugu Shinozaki, a Hitachi Ltd <6501.T> executive on the association's PC industry committee. "We're hoping to see things rise in the third quarter, but if you look at it overall, the opinion in the industry is that it probably won't occur until the fourth," he said. However, the PC market in the United States appeared to have begun to recover slightly, he said. The tempered outlook for 2002 follows recent announcements by computer makers such as NEC Corp <6701.T> and Toshiba Corp <6502.T> of sharp third quarter losses and downward revisions for the year to next March. JEITA said domestic shipments of personal computers fell nine percent in the October-December quarter, with only the positive effect from the November introduction of the Japanese edition of Microsoft Corp's <MSFT.O> newest PC operating system, Windows XP, preventing a yet larger drop. "If it weren't for the effect of Windows XP, it's possible the drop in consumer shipments would have been more than around 20 percent," Shinozaki said, adding that business shipments were around the same level as the previous year. Despite the October-December quarter, JEITA said it was keeping unchanged its October forecast for domestic shipments of 10.6 million PCs for the 12 months ending on March 31, although it could not be overly optimistic about hitting the forecast. A decline in 2001/02 shipments would be the first fall since a five percent contraction in 1997/98, and would come a mere year after 2000/01's record shipment of 12.1 million units. JEITA officials said the October-December figures were slightly better than the previous quarter, when domestic PC shipments fell 21 percent year-on-year, with notebook PC sales particularly showing some signs for encouragement. They said PC prices in October-December rose on a quarter-on-quarter basis, although they were down year-on-year. COMPETITION WEIGHS Another factor behind the downturn and continued weak outlook for the domestic market was the increasing inroads made by PC foreign manufacturers in Japan, the world's second-largest market. JEITA's 17 member firms represent more than 90 percent of domestic PC shipments, but U.S. PC manufacturers such as Dell Computer Corp <DELL.O> and Compaq Computer Corp <CPQ.N> are not included in the association's tally. According to market research firm Multimedia Research Institute Ltd, Dell posted a 26.7 percent rise in 2001 PC shipments to grab a 4.4 percent share of the Japanese market. By contrast, domestic industry leaders NEC and Fujitsu were able to retain their respective number one and two spots, but saw their shipments fall 11 percent and 1.9 percent. Multimedia has forecast a 6.5 percent year-on-year fall in 2002 domestic shipments, echoing JEITA's forecast of a mild recovery in the second half as the U.S. economy picks up and high-speed internet services in Japan help to spur growth.