SI
SI
discoversearch

We've detected that you're using an ad content blocking browser plug-in or feature. Ads provide a critical source of revenue to the continued operation of Silicon Investor.  We ask that you disable ad blocking while on Silicon Investor in the best interests of our community.  If you are not using an ad blocker but are still receiving this message, make sure your browser's tracking protection is set to the 'standard' level.
Pastimes : Clown-Free Zone... sorry, no clowns allowed -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: GrillSgt who wrote (149027)2/5/2002 6:44:07 PM
From: patron_anejo_por_favor  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 436258
 
<<Could you define that. I mean, for some it has already ended badly>>

To me, "ending badly" implies a major market dislocation coupled with either a prolonged recession (ie, 2 years or more), hyperinflation (ie, double digits) or some combination of the two. Indeed, it has ended badly for many, particularly most who engaged in leveraged speculation in equities. BUT, the SPX is still only ~35% off its ATH...that's not consistent with the unwinding and aftermath of the largest equity and finance bubbles in the history of man. Targets don't mean much, but until the SPX is below 750 or so, I doubt we're done.

As for BubbleVision going off the air, that would be "ending happily"!



To: GrillSgt who wrote (149027)2/5/2002 8:07:46 PM
From: Box-By-The-Riviera™  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 436258
 
where you been meat?



To: GrillSgt who wrote (149027)2/5/2002 9:26:39 PM
From: Mike M2  Respond to of 436258
 
Grillster, my expectations are the longest deepest recession since the Great Depression. The various indices decline 50% +/- Nazcrap 6-700. Remember at past bear market bottoms S&P has traded for PE = 7 . the current PE is 25, 40 or 60 depending on who's number you like. the profits for the S&P have suffered the biggest decline since 1938. in short TL & EV. mike



To: GrillSgt who wrote (149027)2/6/2002 8:13:56 AM
From: Earlie  Read Replies (3) | Respond to of 436258
 
Griller:

Not addressed to me, but my two cents worth anyway.

I see a full-blown depression coming.... much like the thirties. Most folks will have no liquidity, which will intensify the pass through the wringers.

Best, Earlie