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Strategies & Market Trends : Moomin Valley (formerly Troll-free Zone) -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: At_The_Ask who wrote (407)	2/6/2002 8:29:06 AM
From: Moominoid	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 2852

I have spent today developing a stock-market forecasting model. It is scaringly accurate in one day ahead forecasts for the NDX since October (the only trial I have run so far). Today's forecast is for a 3% gain. I just checked the net and the futures are up. When I remember I will post my forecasts here and lets see how I go. I don't have a weekly model yet or I could use it to compete in Bill's competition :) It is so good I am thinking I must have done something wrong... :) The correlation between the predicted % change each day and actual is 97% over the trial period. Maybe just a lucky period. It is a linear regression model but incorporates some strange synthetic variables which themselves are linear functions of a type.... It also has hundreds of variables in the regression.... Anat is reminiscent of Kali I think. Female warrior goddesses... Anat is a popular girl's name in Israel but I don't think most people know where it comes from. David