To: Terry D who wrote (95225 ) 2/6/2002 6:17:08 PM From: SliderOnTheBlack Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 95453 Terry, Terry, Terry... re: ["As Jim Brown said about end zone dancing - act like you've been there before."] As Yogi Berra said: "if you can (or did) do it - it aint bragging" And as Leo Sayer so aptly said: " I can dance, I can dance, I can dance ~ " So, as Steve Martin said: "Exxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxcuuuuuuse Me" I/We were riducled...literally chastised for making a portfolio weighted shift from atop the Oilpatch cycle to rotate to and buy into the abyss of the bottom of the Gold/Silver cycle in late 2000. We were laughed at; called names, poked fun at and had every lame-assed platitude & goldbuggery sterotype thrown at us that was in existance... but; we had 3 things going for us that you guys didn't... We were RIGHT and we also had PATIENCE & absolute CONFIDENCE. The shift from "black" to "yellow" gold was what started the thread wars here on this once productive thread. After seeing the numbers on the chart linked below; it isn't only our obligation to point out the folly of the 'bungholio & Kodiakbull$hitter gang; but it's our duty to do so - even given their wannabe goldbug act of late aside...(vbg). I/We chose to not buy into the "new paradigm" - "this time it's different" - "extended cycle" - "Energy Crisis" - "Nat Gas Mania" spiel spun by Matt Simmons & the other oilpatch pundits. I/We took the "macro" approach and were among the first to dare mouth the words - "global recession"...and warn that a "global recession" - not only trumps a full house; but an oilpatch cycle, even a domestic nat gas crisis & all things new paradigm as well... I/We pounded the table endlessly that the oilpatch is, was and will allways be; first & foremost - a cyclical sector...and that you can't buy, sell, or hold 'em like growth stocks. I/We dared to not just take profits in the midst of the Nat Gas mania of Dec 2000; but to go short as well. I/We saw the top of the oilpatch cycle and the near simultaneous bottom formation of the gold/silver cycle and we made the call... and the call was a 500 Ft. Ruthian Home Run off the upper-deck facade of Yankee Stadium - leaving the broad market & the other major sector indicies traded by threadsters here in the dust... ie:siliconinvestor.com 1. up + 97% ~ HUI (unhedged gold index) 2. up + 48 ~ Xau 3. DOWN - 5% the DOW 4. DOWN - 6% the XOI (where people should have parked oil $) 5. DOWN - 20% the S&P 500 6. DOWN - 30% the XNG (Nat Gas index) so much for new paradigms huh ? 7. DOWN - 36% the OSX 8. DOWN - 44% the NASDQ 9. DOWN - 55% the QQQ's ...what fool's we were huh ? From one index double/triple cycle in the OSX to another in the HUI - directly into a 2 year bear market... not bad returns for a group of online pikers 'eh(vbg). Terry D; you and all the other money runners bought into all this hype & hyperbole... and ignored the lessons of history. You chastised gold, because everyone else did... not because of reality, or fundamental drivers... you poo-poo'd the price manipulation of gold and ignored the bloated-floated US Dollar & Equity markets and if you think DOW 9000 and NAZ 1400 brought pain... just wait for the rest of this contraction to play out... the debt-orgy of the late 90's is now imploding and the chain reaction will shake the derivatives markets and we will lose 1, if not a couple of major Wall Street Investment Banks... when, not if... and then say hello to my little friend: ...the NIKKEI-DEJA VU all over again - US version. The US Dollar is the next pig to collapse - bank on it and put a fork in it... it's done. ciao~ and PS: "I" the Slide-o-rama-phi-slamma-jamma of funkadelia; was the one who taught Billy White Shoes Johnson his original moves fwiw; so I can damn well do any version of the Yellow Fever Victory Dance I damn well please ~ ;)