To: Mephisto who wrote (2696 ) 2/7/2002 7:37:51 PM From: Mephisto Respond to of 15516 Bush makes two mistakes Thursday, February 7, 2002 By TED VAN DYK SEATTLE POST-INTELLIGENCER COLUMNIST "It was worse than a crime. It was a blunder." -- traditional French characterization of a high-level gaffe Presidents, like athletes sitting on a big lead, overreach and make dumb mistakes when their popularity ratings run high. President Bush, as others before him, did it twice last week with blunders he needs to set right. The first was his last-minute addition to his otherwise effective State of the Union address labeling Iran, Iraq, and North Korea an "axis of evil ... threatening the peace of the world." Later in the speech he said that if other nations did not want to act against terrorism, the United States would without them. My guess is that Bush simply thought he was firing a figurative shot across the bows of the three regimes and, with his go-it-alone statement, wanted to emphasize U.S. determination. But in doing it he abandoned the carefully calibrated approach he had taken toward the war on terrorism to date. He renewed pre-Sept. 11 fears of allies that the president was a Texas hip shooter who might pick a fight at the wrong place and time and then suck them into it. The Axis Three should be differentiated. And none of the three should be written off as a lost cause to the civilized world. What they share in common is their attempt to acquire, develop or disseminate weapons of mass destruction we and others already possess. They also share a recent history of attempting to subvert their immediate neighbors and of quashing political, religious and ethnic dissent within their own borders. All three have sponsored or harbored terrorists. Iran, however, has both inside and outside its government important forces pushing for economic and political liberalization. Iran cooperated in a limited way with the U.S. intervention in Afghanistan, although, reverting to form, it since has meddled in the western part of that country bordering Iran. Most important: In any future attempt to isolate or weaken Iraq, a hole-card option for the United States would be to normalize relations with Iran and thus shift the power balance in the region dramatically against Saddam Hussein. Iraq continues to ban international inspection of its sinister weapons-development programs. Yet it otherwise appears reasonably contained, has a weak economy and has a badly degraded military barely capable of defending the homeland core. It must be dealt with in time but certainly not by the United States alone and not in such a way as to make the secular Saddam seem a hero to radical Islam. North Korea remains a crazy, isolated place. But South Korea, with our support, has been taking a step-by-step path toward opening the north and eventual reunification. North Korea's neighbors, including China, have, with the United States, been keeping that country on a short leash to assure that it will not launch some irrational military action in the region. The other blunder was Bush's opposition to the General Accounting Office's request for records of Vice President Cheney's energy task force deliberations in which discredited Enron CEO Kenneth Lay had an apparent role. Having directed and served on such task forces, I can attest that if done by the book they involve formal meetings and background research over many weeks in which relevant Cabinet departments and independent agencies systematically examine a given policy issue, the options available to address it and the tradeoffs among the options. Consultation with affected private and public-sector groups is part of the process. When task-force recommendations are brought to a president he accepts them, modifies them or sometimes just dumps them in a dead file. My guess here is that the vice president does not fear disclosure of special Enron or other energy-company access. More likely, he does not want it known that his task force was a quickie, ad hoc exercise that rubber-stamped standard Petroleum Club proposals decided beforehand. They went in one side of the task-force bologna machine and came rapidly out the other neatly labeled and packaged but still the same bologna. Examination might show it was a task force that was barely there. Few in the media and in the general public have any idea how a policy task force is supposed to work. But they can see quite easily when someone is ducking and trying to hide something -- as Bush and Cheney are doing -- and presume the worst. The Bush-Cheney argument that they are defending the future right of presidents and vice presidents to have confidential discussions is phony. The constitutional issue of executive privilege has not been invoked. The task force was not discussing war plans. Bush energy policy proposals have been stalled on Capitol Hill under a cloud because of suspicion about their origins. The president's reputation for straight dealing could go downhill too if the stonewalling continues. Bush has retreated partially but not yet credibly from his evil axis statement. Now he needs to turn over the energy policy papers. Otherwise, as his predecessors did, he'll learn that you can't play careless with a big lead.seattlepi.nwsource.com