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Politics : High Tolerance Plasticity -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: rolatzi who wrote (12369)	2/10/2002 9:16:39 PM
From: chowder	Read Replies (2) \| Respond to of 23153

stockcharts.com[h,a]daclyiay[pb200!b9!b50!b36!b18!f][vc60][iut!Ub14!Uk14!La12,26,9!Lc5!Ll14!Lg!Lh14,3]&pref=G

To: rolatzi who wrote (12369)	2/10/2002 9:49:50 PM
From: Warpfactor	Respond to of 23153

Use that chart that Dabum provided for $TRIN. The ARMS Index is a 10-DMA of $TRIN. Last Year, the ARMS Index registered over 1.5 on August 22 (if I'm not mistaken). The Sept 11 incident resulted in a panic selloff which also ran the ARMs up greater than 1.5. When the market opened the next week, the bottom came on Friday, which was the 20th trading day after the August 22 signal. Justa Werkinstiff's comment regarding when one selling wave ends and when the next begins is valid, but when you look at the history of the ARMS Index, it is rare when that ARMS moving average moves greater than 1.5. Typically only 2 to 3 times per decade. Given this, it would be difficult to conceive how a cycle of panic bottom to intermediate-length bull run to panic bottom, could happen within 3-4 weeks. Warp