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To: mishedlo who wrote (150686)2/11/2002 4:44:03 PM
From: sun-tzu  Respond to of 436258
 
i don't follow him



To: mishedlo who wrote (150686)2/11/2002 5:06:59 PM
From: lisalisalisa  Respond to of 436258
 
not sure I understand the whole post, but I thought I read something from Heinz that stated he thought if lease rates started to go up it was NOT bullish. His thought, if I understood it correctly, was that it might indicate someone or someones leasing more gold to dump on the market to try and keep the rally under control, thus suggesting lower POG in the short term.



To: mishedlo who wrote (150686)2/11/2002 7:25:34 PM
From: LLCF  Respond to of 436258
 
I don't really get this whole lease rate thing... sometimes high rates are bullish, sometimes bearish supposedly. What does seem to make sense to me is this:

1.) Rocketing lease rates short term must be a short term squeeze... but that said, that is no reason to go buying a mining company.... or gold for that matter.

2.) From that standpoint, high longer term lease rates is MORE bullish... ie. someone is actually willing to pay x% to lease gold for a WHOLE YEAR??? Why, they must really need it??? I think Heinz's take is the opposite... low LT leases means the CB's are tying up their gold for longer periods... spending bullits.

WDFDIK... I DO agree that POG is simply backing up a tad as any stock does before moving higher. The economics of the situation are MONSTER, so will the eventual POG.

DAK