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Strategies & Market Trends : Zeev's Turnips - No Politics -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Zeev Hed who wrote (29332)2/11/2002 4:44:57 PM
From: vampire  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 99280
 
I did actually short JNPR upon your rec - I covered too early though (but that's ok...never go broke takin' profits)

thanks



To: Zeev Hed who wrote (29332)2/11/2002 4:48:21 PM
From: puborectalis  Respond to of 99280
 
Steve Milunovich(ML)

2002 will be a stockpickers' market
Sees 40-60% of stocks outperforming
Market has been flat, so stock picking skills are important
Sector differences are important
Stock selection does matter
Most years are not stockpickers' years
Look at:
Companies that have gained market share during the downturn:
DELL
CSCO
Companies with very strong momentum:
NVDA
ERTS
Companies with good cash flow and visibility:
FDC
ACS
Five of the last 27 years have been stockpickers' markets
Buying a basket approach is favored from a portfolio management standpoint
Risk is related to stock-picking skills
Downside is missing a few significant stocks
Focus on strong cash flow and visibility
Investors are more focused on cash flow and less on net income
Future Buys:
Would look at IBM in the low 90s
Does not think CA cash flow is so bad
Would buy SUNW at closer to 8/share
Would be wary of communications like LU, NT
Looking at a strong 2H improvement
Sees a U recovery



To: Zeev Hed who wrote (29332)2/11/2002 5:02:17 PM
From: kanuti  Respond to of 99280
 
Actually, you should be looking at JNPR (I have said that many times, but no one believes me<g>)
Zeev


I believe you on this one. Have played it several times in the past weeks and shorted again today @ 15 and am ready too add more if it ramps up.



To: Zeev Hed who wrote (29332)2/11/2002 6:14:53 PM
From: ajtj99  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 99280
 
Actually, after looking at that H&S on BRCD after Larry pointed it out, that seems the good bet for a nice drop. It has already hit 30.25 last Friday, and that's a good 10% lower than where it closed today. It touched the neckline again from below, and it should be primed for a nice drop after expiration. Am I missing anything here?

$30.25 is close enough to be a .382 re-trace off the high of 41.37 on Jan. 9. The next real support below the 29.50-31.50 box is about 26.50 or so. That is close to a 50% re-trace off the high ($27 would be a 50%).

Price by volume also indicates decent support in the $25 area. It would seem that if the $29.00 level is breached, a drop to $26.50 would happen, and $25 would not be out of the question. My question is, how strong is that support at $29 in a possible drop below COMP 1750? You've been playing this one a while, so I was wondering if you're seeing the same thing I'm seeing.