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Gold/Mining/Energy : KOB.TO - East Lost Hills & GSJB joint venture -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: grayhairs who wrote (15486)	2/12/2002 7:46:24 PM
From: F9driver	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 15703

Wow, Grayhairs speaks! Now, what does it mean and what are his motives at this particular time?

To: grayhairs who wrote (15486)	2/12/2002 7:50:12 PM
From: SofaSpud	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 15703

Point well taken, GH. Nevertheless, the single-phase theory is what people at the JV's assert. I heard it from one of their reservoir guys as recently as October or perhaps even November. Agreed that it doesn't seem consistent with the "facts" we have.

To: grayhairs who wrote (15486)	2/13/2002 12:16:14 AM
From: u2bob	Read Replies (2) \| Respond to of 15703

Hi Grayhairs, WHAT! couldn't you have started me off with something easy like 2 + 2 instead of Geology 202...ggg Great post but unfortunately I'm no geologist, I can certainly ask these questions and try to find the answer if you don't already no them ? ( I Know I don't ) Please don't SHOOT the messenger! I will try giving you my interpretation be gentle...ggg Grayhairs you mention: <<(1) the original blowout discovery produced essentially dry gas at high rates for about 2 weeks before showing any sign of significant water ??>> This is the way I understand things and I may be in left field Uncontrolled blowouts result in very low bottom hole flowing pressure and large pressure draw downs. This in turn provides an opportunity for water located at the base of a hydrocarbon column to be produced. Also the perm. and porosity I have been told are very good down in the Phacoides, with lots of micro fractures would this not in turn enable the water from down below or any where else to be drawn into the formation ? Do you believe this puppy will water out? I don't , and I don't believe Anadarko does. Time will tell? <<2) BKP#1 on initial flow test produced essentially dry gas and condensate for 24 hours plus before the water hit ??>> One thing I can say from experience in the gas field is that it is very easy to manipulate a flow test of any kind by controlling the differential, and down hole pressure. If the well sits static would the water not flow through the fractures more easy? than with differential flow rate? In the same respect could you also increase flow rate to cause coning effect, I guess what I am asking is there not a ideal spot to flow at for gas/water ratio? <<(3) the flaring events that have occurred during drilling have not been accompanied by large water cuts ??>> Not sure what to make of that question but here goes, most of the flaring has been done in different zones, and that what flaring has been done in the Phacoides I can't say one way or the other if there is water cut or not , what I will say is there are 2 zones of interest below the Agua, one that Anadarko like's the other ELK. They must like something ? <<It is indisputable that the hydrocarbons exist as a single dense critical fluid insitu. But, production performance to date does not, to me, support the suggestion of a "single" complex reservoir fluid (comprised of hydrocarbons and water). If there were but one complex "mixture" insitu, water would be produced with FIRST production in the same proportion that it is produced after sustained production, would it not ???>> That sounds right to me, but I have yet to see sustained production from day one. I was there last year in Feb. and flow rates were up and down, production has probably never been the same for a 24 hr. period since the well was brought on. I would however love to see water disposal wells drilled and sustained flow rates. One thing I am sure of Grayhairs is that I will hold you accountable for a beer if we ever meet, just for the simple reason that I am a one finger typist ...ggg Single-phase theory your not buying? Do you have any experience in what effect a blowout like this would have on a formation with water coning for extensive period? So do you think the wells will be non commercial? At these prices I have to stick around and find out I only hope that Anadarko and OXY are not just wasting there time on this play. Time will tell soon enough and I will keep asking questions Good to hear from you and please don't spring anymore tough ones on me, I'm just the messenger... and don't grade my post to harsh I just got in from the pub. Take care Bob