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To: PCSS who wrote (95244)2/14/2002 3:41:12 PM
From: Night Writer  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 97611
 
15:00 ET Dow +1, Nasdaq -9, S&P -2.88: [BRIEFING.COM] Heading into the final hour of trading, the market is mixed with little change seen in the major indices... Over the past hour or so, the market has been hit with news of an S&P downgrade of Qwest's (Q -1.07) credit rating and rumors that Intel's (INTC +0.37) quarter is tracking below forecast due to pricing pressure on the P4... The latter is worthy of skepticism given that such rumors are common ahead of an options expiration day; nonetheless, it has clearly taken some steam out of the influential SOX Index as investors are cognizant of Hewlett-Packard's contention last night that it isn't certain the strong consumer technology spending pickup seen in Q1 (Jan.) will continue in Q2 (Apr.)... As a reminder, Dell Computer (DELL -0.96) is scheduled to report its earnings results after the close... SOX -0.8%... NYSE Adv/Dec 1571/1500... Nasdaq Adv/Dec 1416/2003.



To: PCSS who wrote (95244)2/14/2002 4:22:46 PM
From: Elwood P. Dowd  Respond to of 97611
 
Improved Profitability, Global Share Gains Highlight Dell's Q4 Sales of $8.1 Billion, 17-Cent Per-Share Earnings Meet Increased Guidance
AUSTIN, Texas--(BUSINESS WIRE)--Feb. 14, 2002--Dell (Nasdaq:DELL - news) said its industry-best operating efficiency again helped the company simultaneously provide customers with exceptional value and achieve improved, leading operating profitability during the fiscal fourth quarter, which ended Feb. 1.

Analysts said Dell gained almost three points of worldwide market share in servers from the year-ago quarter, and more than five in the United States. The company significantly exceeded overall industry growth rates in strategically important markets such as China, Germany and Japan.

As anticipated, Dell reported quarterly net earnings of $456 million, or 17 cents per share, compared with $434 million, or 16 cents per share, last year. Excluding charges, year-ago per-share earnings were 18 cents. Revenue for the most recent period was $8.1 billion. Results exceeded original company guidance, primarily because of a stronger-than-planned performance by Dell's profitable, fast-growing consumer business.

Full-year net earnings were $1.25 billion versus $2.18 billion in fiscal 2001. Absent charges, earnings for fiscal 2002 were $1.78 billion, or 65 cents per share. NOTE: All subsequent financial information in this release excludes charges for fiscal 2002 and 2001.

Fourth Quarter Full Year
(in millions, except share data)
FY'02 FY'01(a) Change FY'02(c) FY'01(a),(b) Change
----- ----- ------ ----- ----- ------
Revenue $8,061 $8,674 (7%) $31,168 $31,888 (2%)
Operating
Income $594 $589 1% $2,271 $2,768 (18%)
Net Income $456 $508 (10%) $1,780 $2,310 (23%)
Earnings
Per Share $0.17 $0.18 (6%) $0.65 $0.84 (23%)

(a) Q4 and full-year FY'01 income/earnings data exclude a $105
million charge related to job reductions and consolidation of
facilities.

(b) Full-year FY'01 income/earnings data exclude a $59 million
after-tax charge related to the cumulative effect of an accounting
change.

(c) Full-year FY'02 income/earnings data exclude a $742 million
second-quarter charge related to job reductions, consolidation of
facilities and impairment of assets.

``As our industry moves into a new stage of consolidation, the opinions that still matter most belong to customers,'' said Michael Dell, the company's chairman and chief executive officer. ``The pace with which they're choosing Dell products and services accelerated last year, and puts us in a stronger competitive position than at any time in our history.''

Calendar 2001 was the first full year in which Dell led the global computer-systems industry, with nearly 14-percent market share. In the U.S., Dell's full-year share exceeded 25 percent, up almost six points from 2000.

According to Mr. Dell, the company expects to outperform the industry again in the first quarter of fiscal 2003. He said a seasonal drop in purchases of home computers combined with softness in demand by businesses suggest a 10-percent sequential decline in industry shipments. Dell believes its Q1 unit volumes and revenue will be down 3 to 5 percent, producing per-share earnings of 16 cents.

Dell continued to successfully deliver on its strategy to sequentially improve operating profitability despite challenging industry conditions. Net operating margins for the period were 7.4 percent of revenue versus 6.8 percent in the year-ago fourth quarter. Operating expenses were 10.2 percent of revenue, the lowest level in company history.

Dell's leading asset management helped generate more than $1 billion in cash from operations during Q4. Total cash and investments at the close of the period were $8.3 billion. Four days of supply in inventory matched the low achieved in the previous two quarters.

Enterprise Growth Again Dell's Fastest

Company shipments of enterprise systems grew 12 percent from the same quarter one year ago. Dell's server volumes in Central and South America rose more than 50 percent; in Japan, the increase was 23 percent, more than three times the industry average.

Growth in shipments of PowerEdge servers worldwide and in the U.S. defied industry server declines of 1 and 9 percent, respectively. Dell's U.S. server share in the quarter exceeded 28 percent and the company led that category for the fourth straight quarter. For the full year, worldwide company server shipments increased 27 percent while the industry, excluding Dell, fell 3 percent; company server units in the U.S. rose 20 percent, even as industry totals dropped 10 percent.

Dell sold 69 percent more storage capacity during the quarter than in the year-ago quarter. External storage systems increased to 47 percent of the sales mix. Shipments of Dell Precision workstations, which already ranked No. 1 globally and in the U.S., were up 21 percent.

Shipments of PowerConnect network switches expanded at a rapid pace as Dell customers increasingly capitalize on availability of standards-based switch technology, including high-speed gigabit Ethernet. PowerConnect switches, the first of which were introduced just five months ago, are designed especially for small and medium businesses and are currently sold in the U.S.

Combined unit volumes of Inspiron and Latitude notebook computers were up at twice the quarterly industry rate, and four times faster for all of last year.

Company Extends Momentum in Key Global Markets

Dell's best geographic growth during the quarter was in Asia-Pacific and Japan, where shipments were up 19 percent in a market that dropped 6 percent. Volumes of the company's enterprise-computing systems increased about 30 percent in both China and Japan. Full-year Dell shipments of all products in Asia-Pacific and Japan were up 37 percent; without Dell, the overall market was flat.

Shipments of Dell products in Europe, the Middle East and Africa (EMEA) increased 9 percent in the fourth quarter, even as overall industry volumes declined 5 percent. Crisp execution in Germany again achieved outstanding results: a 23-percent increase in shipments in a market that dropped 15 percent. In Germany, Dell workstation units were up 50 percent, those for notebook computers 46 percent.

Analysts said Dell's full-year EMEA share reached 10 percent, moving the company from No. 3 to No. 2 in the region. In servers, the company's unit growth of 29 percent last year was three times the industry average.

Dell's total shipments in both the Americas and the U.S. grew 10 percent in the fourth quarter; the U.S. industry declined 9 percent. Dell's Q4 U.S. share of more than 27 percent was an industry record. For the full year, the company ranked No. 1 in the overall U.S. market and, for the first time, in all major product categories: servers, workstations, portable computers and desktop computers. Dell's total unit growth in the U.S. last year was 11 percent, compared with a national industry drop of 12 percent.

Unit volumes purchased by U.S. government customers in the quarter jumped 28 percent, and shipments in the education segment increased 20 percent.

'Dude...You're Gettin' a Dell'

Company sales to consumers were particularly strong in the quarter, which includes the critical holiday purchasing season. Dell shipments to home customers were up 56 percent from the third quarter and were 38 percent better than one year ago. The strong performance is attributable in part to spending on a popular, consumer-focused U.S. television campaign featuring the character ``Steven.'' A youthful advocate for the company's products, services and direct relationships with customers, Steven enthusiastically tells other characters and viewers, ``Dude, you're gettin' a Dell.''



To: PCSS who wrote (95244)2/14/2002 5:37:40 PM
From: Elwood P. Dowd  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 97611
 
Forbes is at it, again:

Hewlett-Packard's Failure To Communicate
Michael S. Malone, Forbes.com, 02.14.02, 5:00 PM ET

For God's sakes, Carly, you could have just told us why!

The battle over the proposed merger of Hewlett-Packard (nyse: HWP - news - people) and Compaq Computer (nyse: CPQ - news - people) has now reached the sulfurous stage--that moment in a family feud (and, at HP, this is most definitely about family) when words are said and actions done that can never, ever be taken back.

You can read those words in your daily newspaper. It began when Chief Executive Carly Fiorina and HP's management, already suffering pushback from analysts and their own employees over the merger, suddenly were blindsided by a revolt by the company's largest private shareholders: the children and grandchildren of the two founders.

Since then, most of the nastiness has come from the side of HP management. It began with an ad quoting the late David Packard in apparent agreement with the idea of the merger. This, following a multiyear effort by Fiorina to aggrandize H and P's symbols (notably the founding garage) led to an angry response by David Packard Jr. that his father would never had countenanced the company's growth through such a massive acquisition. Especially not with a culture so alien to the legendary HP Way.

It has only gotten worse. Though the odds still seem in management's favor, Carly and company nevertheless feel scared enough to resort to ad hominem attacks, most notably describing board member Walter Hewlett, who is leading the revolt, as a mere "academic"--read: dotty, eccentric, with fringe (and probably dangerous) ideas about how capitalism really works. Hewlett has responded with angry national print ads saying, "A $25 billion mistake is not the HP Way."

No matter how events play out from here, it is unlikely that this schism will ever be healed. If the proxy vote fails next month, Carly will resign; if it passes, one can easily imagine the two families beginning the long process of liquidating their ownership in HP.

Either way the vote goes, there will also be one other victim: the HP Way. Its preservation was the real reason for the founding families' revolt. Put simply, the Hewletts and Packards, along with thousands of other employees past and present, believe that the Way--the company's unique and influential culture--is HP's most important asset...and that it would be destroyed by the merger.

On the other side, Fiorina and her staff appear to believe that the HP Way is an anachronism of a different, slower time; and that, for the company to survive and succeed in the future, it must be driven purely by a rational business strategy--not some metaphysical mumbo jumbo left over from the good old days.

The current situation is now fraught with ironies. For example, after all of the layoffs, organizational changes, assertion of executive hierarchies and the destruction of traditional company rules of behavior, the HP Way that the old-timers are fighting to save is probably already dead. Meanwhile, though Fiorina and her team appear not to believe in the Way, they are now reduced to appealing to it--or its memory--in order to get enough shareholder votes to win.

If you read between the lines, what this means is that, contra-Carly, the HP Way really did exist, it remains as powerful and useful as ever, and its last use will be to destroy itself forever.

But the most tragic irony of all is this: Had Carly Fiorina believed in the HP Way, had she followed its dictates, none of this nightmare need have happened. You see, the heart of the HP Way is the notion of trust--and the ultimate manifestation of that trust is in open communication from the top of the firm to the bottom. And this is where Carly has failed as the CEO of Hewlett-Packard.

In particular, I daresay that if you ask the average HP employee, or shareholding retiree--or even a business reporter who covers the computer industry--exactly why the HP-Compaq merger would be a good deal, the only answer you'll get is that the managements of the two companies think so.

Just take a look at the company's new two-page ad. It lists HP's current market positions and assets on the left page, and then, on the right page, how the Compaq merger will make the combined company No. 1 in several businesses, including PCs.

This ad raises as many questions as it answers. After all, IBM (nyse: IBM - news - people) was the biggest computer maker in the world. It blew up. Ditto Atari in videogames. And Texas Instruments (nyse: TXN - news - people) in chips. And Wang in workstations. And Apple (nasdaq: AAPL - news - people) in personal computing. And Tektronix (nyse: TEK - news - people) in test and measurement instruments. In technology, being number one doesn't mean a damn thing unless it is powered, as with Microsoft (nasdaq: MSFT - news - people), Intel (nasdaq: INTC - news - people) and Oracle (nasdaq: ORCL - news - people), by a dynamic corporate strategy and the ability to execute it. But on those latter topics, Carly Fiorina is all but mute.

Just trust me, she seems to be saying, I know what I'm doing.

What we have here, to quote Strother Martin, is a failure to communicate. And this failure by Fiorina has been disastrous: It may even wreck a great company and destroy her own career.

By remaining secretive, and in the process showing contempt for the intelligence of her own employees, Carly began to sew doubt in the very people she needed to close the deal. They began to ask themselves if she had a plan at all, or whether this was merely self-aggrandizement at the cost of a great company. Coming on the heels of growing concern over her autocratic management style, the families felt they had no choice but to fight for their fathers' firm.

As it happens, Carly does seem to have a strategy, but you have to dig deeply into some of her industry speeches to find clues to it. It goes like this: The information technology industry is undergoing a period not only of consolidation, but standardization, around specific architectures like Itanium, UNIX, Linux and NT. During such periods, competitive advantage goes to those firms that can bring to bear the maximum amount of research and development, sales, marketing and other economies of scale. With the merger, HP will have that scale, and that in turn will help it dominate such high-margin emerging markets as digital imaging and digital publishing.

Did you know this was Fiorina's strategy? It's nice to finally hear it, isn't it? I think she is completely wrong, but I'm happy to know that at least she's got a plan. I certainly wouldn't have gleaned that from the advertisements.

I can't helping thinking that had Carly Fiorina last autumn thoughtfully presented, in detail, her reasons for pursuing the merger, none of this acrimony would have occurred--she might have even had her cake (Compaq) and eaten it (minus the collapse of morale and the family mutiny) too. But then, she would have to trust the intelligence of her employees and shareholders.

In other words, she would have to believe in the tenets of the HP Way.



To: PCSS who wrote (95244)2/15/2002 9:29:51 AM
From: Elwood P. Dowd  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 97611
 
Survey Finds IT Demand Is Rebounding

By Ronna Abramson
Staff Reporter
02/15/2002 09:02 AM EST

In a hopeful indicator of continuing recovery, demand in the information technology sector has finally returned to pre-Sept. 11 levels and is now slowly climbing higher, according to a widely used survey of nearly 100 companies released Thursday.

The survey by Emeryville, Calif.-based TechTel, which has been conducting quarterly IT studies since 1984, measures both IT purchases by companies as well their consideration of future purchases.


"Our data indicates that, as a whole, the IT market is stable and should continue to improve, barring another major shock to the system," said Michael Kelly, chairman of TechTel, referring to the Sept. 11 terrorist attacks.

But don't get too excited yet. The study breaks down purchases into two categories -- large IT purchases and general business purchases, which cover such items as printers and PCs. The survey found when separated out, enterprise IT purchases didn't quite reach the pre-Sept. 11 second-quarter levels.

TechTel surveyed only larger companies or institutions including Ford (F:NYSE - news - commentary - research - analysis), AT&T (T:NYSE - news - commentary - research - analysis), Charles Schwab (SCH:NYSE - news - commentary - research - analysis), the U.S. Department of Agriculture and the Bureau of Labor Statistics. According to Kelly, clients include Morgan Stanley, Merrill Lynch and Fidelity Investments.

Kelly said that indicates the recovery is likely to take its time. "It's just going to be a nice slow ride coming back," he said.

General business purchases, meanwhile, showed surprising strength, surpassing second-quarter levels. That finding, Kelly suggested, has interesting implications for Compaq's (CPQ:NYSE - news - commentary - research - analysis) merger with Hewlett-Packard (HWP:NYSE - news - commentary - research - analysis), which some have feared would be dragged down by a slowdown in PC sales. "It raises the possibility of the PC section now acting like a buoy," Kelly said. "I didn't expect it."

Kelly dug further and found that Compaq also proved to lead in the low-end server market.

Merrill Agrees
Those findings jibe with a report on fourth-quarter spending released last month by Merrill Lynch. It found that both Compaq and H-P received high ratings when IT execs were asked to estimate the likelihood they'd spend money with the storage vendors in 2002.

Merrill Lynch First Vice President Steven Milunovich, the report's author, noted that H-P has rejuvenated its enterprise line. Uncertain of why Compaq scored so high, he speculated it was because of PC upgrades.

Both TechTel and Merrill Lynch suggested some bad news about BEA Systems (BEA:Nasdaq - news - commentary - research - analysis). TechTel's survey found purchases from BEA systems in the fourth quarter were down from the second and third quarters. Kelly predicts a slowdown in future application server sales at BEA Systems stemming from low brand awareness, a rise in negative opinion and competition from IBM (IBM:NYSE - news - commentary - research - analysis) and Oracle (ORCL:Nasdaq - news - commentary - research - analysis). The company is scheduled to report fourth-quarter results Feb. 21.

Merrill Lynch also found BEA was low on CIO vendor lists.

TechTel and Merrill Lynch agreed on one strong company: IBM. Big Blue stacks up strong against BEA Systems, Kelly said. Milunovich credited IBM, which suffered in past surveys, with better execution and delivering more complex solutions.

Among the other strong companies in TechTel's survey: EMC (EMC:NYSE - news - commentary - research - analysis) and Brocade Communications Systems (BRCD:Nasdaq - news - commentary - research - analysis). "When the industry does come back, they should be able to outperform," Kelly said.

But those findings conflicted with Merrill Lynch's report, which found EMC and Brocade scored low among CIOs. Yet, at the same time, those same CIOs ranked storage spending high on their list of priorities. Even that conflict led a flummoxed Milunovich to ask, "If storage spending is rising, who else are CIOs going to buy from?"

Other companies that TechTel pointed to for a rebound include Siebel (SEBL:Nasdaq - news - commentary - research - analysis) and Oracle, which suffered weakness in their core CRM and database businesses in the past two quarters. "Both of them are on the mend," said Kelly.

But Merrill Lynch found Siebel scored at the very bottom of CIOs' vendor lists and suggested a lack of new application spending hurt the CRM software maker.