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Strategies & Market Trends : Booms, Busts, and Recoveries -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: Wyätt Gwyön who wrote (15086)2/16/2002 1:16:01 PM
From: Stock Farmer  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 74559
 
Ok, now we're going somewhere.

Let's say 9.1% is the *upper* bound of reasonable returns from INDU (ex dividend) over the long term. Then Dow should be no more than 1.091 to the eighth power (=2.00) times whatever it was as it closed out 1994 by the end of the year. Except right now it's at 2.63 times 1994.

So we can expect 2/2.63 * 10,000 = 7600

Tops.


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