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To: AllansAlias who wrote (31484)	2/18/2002 2:13:53 PM
From: UnBelievable	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 209892

Do You Know Where This Was Originally Posted Or if he has posted updates and commentary since then, or where they might be if he did? Thanks

To: AllansAlias who wrote (31484)	2/18/2002 2:42:18 PM
From: At_The_Ask	Respond to of 209892

HMMM thats not bad. We would then be in a B down at this point. Here are some targets based on that work. Using the SPX as a gauge for the broad markets. From the bull peak to the sept. low we lost 608 points(Wave w). .382 times 608 gives us a target of 1176 for the total retracement of wave x. The exact post 9-11 high thus far has been 1176, pretty amazing. So I guess we should assume that if we get a flat x we would stop here again after the b down and c up. This would give us an eventual downside target of SPX of 568 for the end of wave y. Perhaps we get a 50% or 62% retrace of the w. This would certainly help as far as lessening financial destruction, it doesn't seem likely that for a zig zag such a large retrace would be in order. Considering the high valuations and massive debt structure that we have this plan seems pretty likely to me.

To: AllansAlias who wrote (31484)	2/18/2002 2:56:09 PM
From: Doo	Respond to of 209892

Thanks for posting that, Allan, I think...... Could someone very briefly (if possible) explain to an non-Elliotian what the implications are, if any, in the SPX and COMPX/NDX making their highs in 3/00 while the INDU made its high in 01/00 as far as Tommy Bear's count is concerned? Thanks.

To: AllansAlias who wrote (31484)	2/18/2002 3:14:21 PM
From: UnBelievable	Respond to of 209892

"There are also significant non-financial risks at play here, with the prospects of serious invasions of privacy and serious threats of physical violence becoming increasingly likely, especially during Cycle Wave C's decline, when final hopes are dashed." Pretty amazing and more than a little scary. We already are seeing these types of developments and Cycle Wave C doesn't happen until the end of 2002 - 2003.