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Strategies & Market Trends : Zeev's Turnips - No Politics -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: McNabb Brothers who wrote (30799)2/18/2002 7:54:21 PM
From: Jim Cash  Respond to of 99280
 
I'd get out of dodge on a break of 60 1/2



To: McNabb Brothers who wrote (30799)2/18/2002 8:19:00 PM
From: Jdaasoc  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 99280
 
I'm short another 2000 shares of EBAY at $55 as of Sat

Since I have done a little bidding on ebay recently, I would have to say you will get your wish of ebay below $55 to closeout positions at a profit.

I noticed that a minor percent of sellers were from Australia and Great Britian with not much volume of bidding going on form these countries. Canadian sellers seemed to be present in slightly higher percentages then I expected based on population.

You could look at it as they haven't cracked these oversea markets yet or maybe outside of North America bidders don't shop till they drop. <g>

IMO I think that rapid growth phase of ebay is peaking since it's great for odd collectible items or for someone in rural area with not many retail stores nearby who used to shop mail order. Also, they raised rates a 1/4 of a percent on Jan 31, so revenues projections must be off a little.
It will probably do an AOL, post Time merger, dive sometime in the future after they commit to do something big with the vlaue of it's stock and turn it into a pile of goodwill from an major acquition. They alrady have investments in IBazar and Homesdirect in last 6 months which have added less then $1 per share in intangible assets to the books.



To: McNabb Brothers who wrote (30799)2/18/2002 11:51:13 PM
From: Sweet Ol  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 99280
 
Hank,

Welcome to the EBAY short club. I have been shorting it on and off for the last year or so. Profitably, I might add. EBAY tends to run in nice channels, so just follow the charts and make some money with the short. I think it is overpriced and will come down faster than the Naz in general.

Best to all,

JRH



To: McNabb Brothers who wrote (30799)2/18/2002 11:58:12 PM
From: mishedlo  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 99280
 
Looking ahead at EBAY options there are no clues. No big bets either way. 2k-3k positions is it.

That is probably a good sign for you I would think.
There is nothing to prop it up, if the naz tanks as everone believes it will.

Also, it seems to have lost a lot of energy lately. Or maybe that is the market in general.

I guess I would think about taking profits on at least 1/2 the position on a fall to 55 or certainly on a fall to 1720-1750 area.

M