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To: RetiredNow who wrote (57907)2/23/2002 8:12:47 AM
From: RetiredNow  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 77400
 
Part 2: Estimating PV of DCF

FY 2001 FY 2002 FY 2003 FY 2004 FY 2005 FY 2006 FY 2007 FY 2008 FY 2009 FY 2010 FY 2011 FY 2012 FY 2013 FY 2014 FY 2015 FY 2016 FY 2017 FY 2018 FY 2019 FY 2020 FY 2021 FY 2022 FY 2023 FY 2024 FY 2025 FY 2026 FY 2027 FY 2028 FY 2029 FY 2030
Growth Rate -13% 30% 25% 20% 15% 15% 15% 15% 15% 10% 10% 10% 10% 10% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5%
Revenues $22.000 $19.140 $24.882 $31.103 $37.323 $42.921 $49.360 $56.764 $65.278 $75.070 $82.577 $90.835 $99.918 $109.910 $120.901 $126.946 $133.293 $139.958 $146.956 $154.303 $162.019 $170.120 $178.626 $187.557 $196.935 $206.781 $217.120 $227.976 $239.375 $251.344
OCFL/Rev % 19% 19% 19% 19% 19% 19% 19% 19% 19% 19% 19% 19% 19% 19% 19% 19% 19% 19% 19% 19% 19% 19% 19% 19% 19% 19% 19% 19% 19%
OCFL $3.637 $4.728 $5.909 $7.091 $8.155 $9.378 $10.785 $12.403 $14.263 $15.690 $17.259 $18.984 $20.883 $22.971 $24.120 $25.326 $26.592 $27.922 $29.318 $30.784 $32.323 $33.939 $35.636 $37.418 $39.288 $41.253 $43.316 $45.481 $47.755
fully diluted shares 7.196 7.412 7.634 7.863 8.099 8.342 8.592 8.850 9.116 9.389 9.671 9.961 10.260 10.568 10.885 11.211 11.547 11.894 12.251 12.618 12.997 13.387 13.788 14.202 14.628 15.067 15.519 15.984 16.464 16.958
OCFL/Share $0.49 $0.62 $0.75 $0.88 $0.98 $1.09 $1.22 $1.36 $1.52 $1.62 $1.73 $1.85 $1.98 $2.11 $2.15 $2.19 $2.24 $2.28 $2.32 $2.37 $2.41 $2.46 $2.51 $2.56 $2.61 $2.66 $2.71 $2.76 $2.82
PV 10.0% $0.45 $0.51 $0.56 $0.60 $0.61 $0.62 $0.63 $0.63 $0.64 $0.63 $0.61 $0.59 $0.57 $0.56 $0.52 $0.48 $0.44 $0.41 $0.38 $0.35 $0.33 $0.30 $0.28 $0.26 $0.24 $0.22 $0.21 $0.19 $0.18
Sum of PVs $12.98