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Strategies & Market Trends : Stock Attack II - A Complete Analysis -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: whydididothat who wrote (30728)2/26/2002 1:51:47 AM
From: Vitas  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 52237
 
whydidyoudothat -g- re the divergence between NYSE weekly breadth and prices - I'm getting used to it - it has been going on for a long time, since September 2000

it probably reflects interest rate sensitive issues and small caps showing strength, the Dow weekly a-d line does not have such a strong divergence

there never has been such a divergence in either the weekly or the daily a-d line at bottoms, they always have bottomed concurrent with price, but the market has never ignored dropping interest rates either, except for the early 30's

the divergence doesn't show up in the up - down volume charts because it is the large cap high volume stocks that have been going down

it is the reverse of the situation in 1998 and 1999 where the a-d line and small caps were going down, while the large caps kept rallying

the horizontal line on the NY trin 50 chart marks an oversold area:
geocities.com

the current uptrends in the trin 50 on both NY and NASD dating from January should contain any rallies, unless of course the uptrend lines break

last Tuesday the NASD up down volume ratio was 9.7 to 1 to the downside, which usually, but not always, indicates a continuation signal

I don't think that we will reach the intermediate term bottom until the NY and NASD 1 percent udv oscillators reach the oversold areas that I've marked with a red horizontal line, unless they go back above zero first

thanks for the compliment