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To: Glenn Petersen who wrote (95315)2/27/2002 9:35:31 AM
From: Jim Willie CB  Respond to of 95453
 
on gold carry trade end; zero real rates draw to hard assets

www.zealllc.com/commentary/goldcarry.htm
www.zealllc.com/commentary/realgold.htm

first explains gold carry trade, now done dead gone
that suppressed gold prices as central banks lent out their gold to bullion bankers for a mere 1% in order to stifle gold investments, and thus invite a paperchase stock bubble
they essentially enabled the gold market to "look" as if it had twice as much gold in supply, as both bankers showed gold on their books, and central bankers also showed the same gold on their books (as loans)
that is done dead gone now, so the lid suppressing gold has been removed

second explains how real rates of interest are now zero, thus encouraging a counter move widely into real assets, natural resources, and away from paperchase stocks
rates of return for stock equity should be small for a while
rates of return for debt are miserable now
that leaves the old standby remaining: hard assets
and some like gold and silver have already responded
Japan alone can kickstart that market

very interesting stuff
/ jim