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Strategies & Market Trends : Zeev's Turnips - No Politics -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: ajtj99 who wrote (33239)2/25/2002 4:44:57 PM
From: t2  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 99280
 
VIX and especially the VXN turned downward and maybe that is positive for the bull case. That is, it has turned downward.

Looking for a strong market going into Thursday but a weak day on the final day of February. Not looking to see a bounce on Thursday. If it rallies that day, it could mean the market is much stronger than it seems. That is the day to get out while the funds that have probably hoarded cash over the past 2 months finish deploying it--- and those that are will bearish will probably capitilize on it and short the Naz. Just a hunch.

There was plenty of good news today and that also helped. I doubt the consumer confidence numbers are going to be better than expected tomorrow...and that could probably create a dip for an hour or two...will be "trading" long on such a dip.

Still think Naz goes lower and the Dow probably does somewhat better on a relative basis. The relative strength of Naz versus Dow is probably just a one or two day thing, imho. I prefer to be long Dow as more and more want to jump on board this ship, afraid of dangerous waters (Nasdaq) in the coming weeks.

jmho.



To: ajtj99 who wrote (33239)2/25/2002 5:06:40 PM
From: Crimson Ghost  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 99280
 
We also need high VIX readings for a good bottom and did not get those either. Looks like one or two more strong days (but not nearly as strong as today) before we turn down again.



To: ajtj99 who wrote (33239)2/25/2002 7:54:08 PM
From: exp  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 99280
 
Ajtj, I agree with everything you said as I was thinking the exact same things (scary isn't it?) Carpino's lows Thu-Fri. I am planning to go short tomorrow-Wed and you? In retrospect, I should have played this bounce from Fri on the long side (instead of staying in cash) as VXN and VIX indicated a bounce but decided to just go for a bigger fish on the short side after the bounce. Also, DOW looked iffy to me at near 10K so I thought upside was limited.