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Strategies & Market Trends : E-Mini Pit -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: SE who wrote (1970)2/28/2002 3:13:23 PM
From: Nemer  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 11288
 
absolute last thing I'm gonna say today about any of this ... ggggggggg

>>>>>>> You know I am convinced, although I have not proven it by running any tests, that a random entry system that uses good money mangement and exit techniques would make some serious money.



yes sir .. it WILL
cause if it can't ...
it is NOT a good system/plan/method ....

I've done it and DO it ....

thass it ... <smile>



To: SE who wrote (1970)2/28/2002 9:53:53 PM
From: the-phoenix  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 11288
 
>>You know I am convinced, although I have not proven it by running any tests, that a random entry system that uses good money management and exit techniques would make some serious money<<

Have said the same, and believe it. Assume random entry is correct 45-55% of the time. Very few trading systems can boast of a long-term success rate of better than 60%, which means most are no better than random.

My experience of trading the futures to date is net profitable, but with a win rate of only 48%. (I count scratches in the loss column.) If I had let my winners run and cut a few of my losses a heck of a lot shorter, I'd be looking at a very nice equity curve, without any change in the win rate.

So there is a "test" for you, over several hundred trades, anyway.

Phoenix