MARKET TALK: Treasurys Hit, Stocks Get Boost On ISM
01 Mar 10:05
Edited by Thomas Granahan Of DOW JONES NEWSWIRES (Call Us: 201 938-5299; All Times Eastern) MARKET TALK can be found using code N/DJMT 10:05 (Dow Jones) Tsys hurt after Feb. ISM index comes in very strong. 2-year yield initially up 4 BP since report, to 3.13% from 3.09% immediately before the report. 10-year yield up 2 BP since ISM report to 4.92%. Stocks reacting favorably - DJIA up 83 to 10189, Nasdaq Comp adds 22 to 1753, and S&P 500 up 9 to 1115. (JNP/TG) 9:56 (Dow Jones) Morgan Stanley starts coverage of healthcare facilities with an overweight rating. "Pricing for 2002 is largely a done deal. Medicare increases of 2.75% and managed care increases of 6%-10% are a positive, in our view. We believe pricing power remains strong for hospitals through 2003. Aging of the population has been and should continue to be a positive for volume growth, in our view." HCA (HCA), Triad (TRI), Tenet (THC) and Community Health (CYH) are its top picks. (GS) 9:46 (Dow Jones) Williams Communications (WCG) shares halted at 13 cents apiece pending news. Could the news be, oh, a bankruptcy filing, which the company introduced as a possibility earlier this week? Or perhaps a substantially dilutive recapitalization, that might make 13 cents a share look very expensive? Meanwhile, shares of Williams Cos. (WMB), which could be on the hook for as much as $2.2 billion, should Williams Communications file for bankruptcy, are up. (CBN) 9:43 (Dow Jones) Merrill Lynch analyst Jay Cohen believes insurance rates for private passenger automobiles will continue to rise, driven by continued margin pressure at carriers and increasing cost of claims. (CUB) 9:38 (Dow Jones) Performance of Janus mutual funds appears to be improving.
Janus parent Stilwell Financial (SV) announced its end-February assets under management rose to $186 billion from $185 billion a month ago. Even after taking into account the $6 billion added as a result of an acquisition, the decline in assets was limited to just $5 billion, or 2.7% of the overall assets. Not a bad number considering that diversified domestic stock funds fell 2.9% on average and science and technology funds tumbled 14% during February, according to Lipper. (YXH) 9:31 (Dow Jones) Hewlett-Packard (HWP) says a research firm has validated a controversial survey in which 66% of H-P employees were found to support the company's pending merger with Compaq Computer (CPQ). International Survey Research reviewed the data from H-P's January survey, as well as the process used to conduct the survey, and found that it "is valid and representative of employees worldwide." "Based on the information we have reviewed, the survey results - at a 95 percent confidence interval - have a maximum sampling error of +/- 5 percent," said Leo F. Brajkovich, global director for the research firm's organization development practice. "It is a valid sample of H-P globally that indicates 66 percent of employees are somewhat or very supportive of the proposed merger between H-P and Compaq." (BS) 9:25 (Dow Jones) New York Times reports today that Disney's (DIS) ABC made a recent bid to hire David Letterman of CBS in a move that would've displace Ted Koppel's "Nightline" program. Execs involved in the talks say Letterman was seriously considering the offer. ABC and Viacom's (VIA) CBS disagree on whether a deadline for discussions ended last night, so stay tuned. (CRW) 9:18 (Dow Jones) Most equity filings and issuance is behind last year's weak pace, but there is one area that's ahead: shelf registrations. The 53 shelf registrations filed this year total $69.3 billion, 9% above this time last year, according to Dealogic. The biggest this year is a $10 billion shelf from Merrill Lynch (MER). (RJH) 9:07 (Dow Jones) ABN-Amro kicks off EDS coverage with hold rating, citing near-term concerns about free cash flow generation and increaseddebt levels.
If the company continues its solid earnings growth and strong business signings while making noticeable progress toward its $700M-$900M free cash flow goal this year, the outlook could become more optimistic. (TG) 9:02 (Dow Jones) Joan Solotar, a brokerage analyst with Credit Suisse First Boston, is the latest to tweak her 1Q and full-year estimates for four investment banks with November fiscal years. Basing her analysis on completed filed deal volume and disclosed fees, she cut estimates for Goldman Sachs Group (GS) and Lehman Brothers (LEH) and raised them for Bear Stearns (BSC) and Morgan Stanley (MWD). The spate of analyst notes on this subject should ease, given that the quarter for these firms ended this week. (CWM) 8:55 (Dow Jones) Adding up Thursday's sharp upward revision to 4Q GDP and other recent stronger data to Friday's personal income report, these "above consensus expectations" numbers show "a consistent trend of the consumer becoming stronger and stronger," and spell "a pretty negative story" for Treasurys, says Jim Caron, fixed-income strategist with Merrill Lynch in NY.
(JNP) 8:48 (Dow Jones) Following Novellus' (NVLS) mid-quarter update Thursday, Robertson Stephens upgrades the stock to buy from market perform, "to reflect the strong uptick in bookings from DRAM manufacturers and early logic adopters of copper for both 200mm and 300mm." The firm also raises its price target to $50 from $40. NVLS shares closed at $42.59 but traded recently at $44.10 in premarket action. (GS) 8:43 (Dow Jones) U.S. auto sales figures for February come out later, and numbers are expected to be down 8%, hurt by the weak economy and lower sales to rental-car companies. Comparisons will also be affected by the fact that last February was a particularly strong month for auto sales. GM sales seen down 10%, with declines at Ford (F) and DaimlerChrysler (DCX) possibly exceeding 15%, analysts say. (CRW) 8:37 (Dow Jones) January personal incomejumped a higher-than-expected 0.4%, compared to consensus of 0.1%. It was the biggest gain since July. Spending was in line with consensus at 0.4% The report showed that disposable personal income, or income after taxes, rose by 1.6% in January after rising a revised 0.2% in December, reflecting in part a phase-in of Bush's tax cuts. (SV) 8:30 (Dow Jones) If you want to get excited about the uptick in stock futures this morning, by all means do so. Just keep in the back of your mind the recent tendency for early gains to disappear. Big corporate news is tough to find at the moment, but that won't be true of economic data: personal income and spending, the ISM manufacturing read, and the final tally on February's sentiment cap off what has been a hectic week. Besides the steady stream of encouraging news on the economy, there's something else to be thankful for, at least if you like tech stocks: February is over. The Nasdaq Comp suffered its second-worst February ever, falling 10.5% last month. Solid gains in equities futures, Treasurys easing. (TG) (END) DOW JONES NEWS 03-01-02 10:05 AM |