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Politics : Foreign Affairs Discussion Group -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: Nadine Carroll who wrote (20326)	3/1/2002 12:23:35 PM
From: JohnM	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 281500

John, do you mean to imply that an Iraq invasion will become a quagmire Forgot you said that before, Nadine. I should have included something about that issue in my post. No, I, of course, have no idea about the quagmire possibility. What I had in mind, rather, was the following. Frist, given the rapid communications of this period as opposed to the Vietnam era, discontent would mobilize, in organized forms, much more quickly. And, second, if the Bushies fail to be more persuasive in the public forums, then a lot of support will simply not be there, and not be there from the outset. Again, I'm saying I think they are sufficiently arrogant and politically out of touch, at the moment, they might do it. But they will pay a price. As for whether it's the right thing to do, which I take it is the point of your posts, I simply have misgivings. It's a weak position but I'm not persuaded Saddam is a sufficient threat to merit an invasion. As for all the tricky destabilizing moves short of an invasion, I'm a bit more open to the rightness of that, given Saddam's track record. But your obvious rejoinder, which is they are likely to be ineffective; I simply don't have a reply to that I would consider acceptable. So there I am. John

To: Nadine Carroll who wrote (20326)	3/1/2002 9:11:06 PM
From: Bilow	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 281500

Hi Nadine Carroll; Re: "John, do you mean to imply that an Iraq invasion will become a quagmire -- years of a stalemated war with 300+ dead American soldiers a week?" US deaths in Vietnam were a heck of a lot less than "300+" per week. There may have been some weeks where the totals were like that, but not many. -- Carl