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Strategies & Market Trends : Zeev's Turnips - No Politics -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: sylvester80 who wrote (35445)3/1/2002 12:20:29 PM
From: t2  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 99280
 
syl, Most tech stocks in the Nasdaq are at bubble levels.
My reason is quite simple:

We had a big buildout of the internet infrastructure. Lots of new companies came public and bought lots and lots of equipment in the boom...and they had raised lots of cash in the equity markets.

Now we have the remaining survivors, Yahoo, AOL, Ebay and a few others.
However, the these companies combined will not be enough of a market for all those suppliers..storage, telcommunications, software, PCs etc....even if there is a big pick up in demand from the remaining customers.

However, investors are giving them valuations as if there will be a big Part 2 buildout around the corner. Even if there is, we won't get a whole bunch of new IPOs in technology for a while anyways. Without cash from IPOs, the new companies won't be spending.

btw--still watching Oracle get crushed while the market is down; wonder how long it takes to drag the Naz lower; Software stocks should be coming down if Oracle is not going up.

jmho



To: sylvester80 who wrote (35445)3/1/2002 12:25:29 PM
From: LTK007  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 99280
 
your reaching,reaching real hard. Go back to 95 to see P/S ratios.Indeed you have become a replica of "American Spirit"--.



To: sylvester80 who wrote (35445)3/1/2002 12:35:33 PM
From: Frederick Langford  Respond to of 99280
 
Syl,

Every good trader can play both sides of the market.
I admire your ability to change sides when you think the timing is right.
Being a perma bear or a perma bull can be hazardous to your wallet <g>

Fred



To: sylvester80 who wrote (35445)3/1/2002 4:18:52 PM
From: Pink Minion  Respond to of 99280
 
And no, we are not going to the moon by any means, but as I said before there is support now on the downside as long as good economic news keep coming

We've been getting good economic news for two months now and the market has been selling every rally. A lot more than "sell the news". I've been asking myself "Why". This is the first rally (if it holds) on news. I couldn't believe we didn't rally yesterday on the GDP #'s.