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To: sun-tzu who wrote (32960)3/3/2002 11:37:46 PM
From: AllansAlias  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 209892
 
Since early November we have been favouring the bearish possibility that everything since the April/2001 low in the NASDAQ has been corrective, setting up for another down leg.

This notion sees the September decline as nothing more than a 'b of 4' wave, which would not have gone as far as it did had 9/11 not happened.

To see a perfect illustration of this count, look at a chart of QLGC. There we had only a minor low into late September. It's just perfect.

I suggest looking at a weekly line chart. Here's one:

stockcharts.com[m,a]wallyyay[pb50!b200][vc60][iUb14!La12,26,9]&pref=G

Wave 1: First sharp move off the top.
Wave 2: That wedgey looking bounce into late 2000.
Wave 3: The next decline into April/2001.
Wave 4: From Apr/00: 'a' up, 'b' down (Sep), and 'c' up.
Wave 5: Just started?

If the January high gets taken out, we have something much more bullish on our hands.