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Strategies & Market Trends : Zeev's Turnips - No Politics -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: LTK007 who wrote (36556)	3/3/2002 11:18:43 PM
From: Psycho-Social	Read Replies (2) \| Respond to of 99280

Re Demographics: Actually, the demographic formula I use is negative for 2002 and somewhat for 2003, so I'm only expecting a moderate cyclical bull market based on a vigorous economic recovery. When demographics have been positive, the Market keeps rising even when interest rates start creeping up. This time, I think we'll have a sharp runup to a 5 to 7% annualized rate of growth, then an upward tick in short term rates will end the bull market or cause a serious correction. I sold my Nasdaq position Friday, and am 75% in cash. Expecting at least one more downleg before the next good intermediate term rally starts somewhere between mid-March and mid-April. What's your current posture?