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Strategies & Market Trends : Mr. Pink's Picks: selected event-driven value investments -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: andrew krull who wrote (16400)3/4/2002 2:54:14 PM
From: Ben Wa  Respond to of 18998
 
The Interpublic Group of Companies, Inc., is the
largest organization of advertising agencies and
marketing services companies in the world," the
company's Web site boasts. Indeed, IPG's marketing
prowess is perhaps nowhere more evident than in the
presentation of its feeble financial results.

- Last Thursday evening, when the company released its
fourth quarter earnings, which included neither a
balance sheet nor a cash flow statement. In the event,
it was impossible to determine the company's operating
cash flow. Furthermore, when an analyst asked about
operating cash flow on the conference call, the company
ducked the question. No other analyst on the call even
broached the subject.

- Despite the critical omission of a balance sheet and a
cash flow statement, no less than four brokerage house
analysts rushed out research reports the following
morning, rating the stock some version of "buy."

- IPG's sparse disclosure suited their purposes just
fine. Thanks to all these analytical "high fives", IPG
shares soared 14% on Friday.

- Only Lehman Brothers dared to observe, "We did not see
or hear anything in this [quarterly] report to get us
more excited at this point," while maintaining a luke-
warm "Market Perform" rating on the stock.

- But elsewhere on the Street, analysts were effusive.
"Brightening Outlook and Strong Free Cash Flow Trump
Weak Revenue," gushed JP Morgan analyst Fred Searby.

- This free cash flow comment so puzzled Grant's
Investor analyst, Robert Tracy, that he rang up Searby
to find out how the man calculated free cash flow with
neither a balance sheet nor a cash flow statement.

- Searby proceeded to berate and belittle Tracy. The
Morgan analyst was clearly irked by the implication that
he ought not to make definitive cash-flow comments in
the headline of a "buy" recommendation without having
seen the actual supporting documentation.

- Why wouldn't Searby want to engage in a truth-seeking
discussion, you may wonder? The answer may be contained
in the disclosure at the end of his report, which states
that "J. P. Morgan Securities Inc. and/or its affiliates
acted as lead or co-manager in an offering of securities
for Interpublic Group and WorldCom Group [an IPG
subsidiary] within the last three years."