MARKET TALK: Teradyne In Good Shape But It's Had Nice Run
04 Mar 15:28
Edited by Thomas Granahan Of DOW JONES NEWSWIRES (Call Us: 201 938-5299; All Times Eastern) MARKET TALK can be found using code N/DJMT 3:28 (Dow Jones) Thomas Weisel upgrades Teradyne (TER), as evidence suggests a recovery in the automated test equipment business. "Longer term, Teradyne remains well positioned with the broadest semiconductor test platform, and promising franchises in assembly test, high-end backplane assembly and high performance connectors." Teradyne's recent run-up, Thomas Weisel says, makes the valuation "somewhat less compelling," which is why the firm only moves TER up to attractive. TER shares adding $2.15 to $39.70. (GS) 3:13 (Dow Jones) Wal-Mart (WMT) and Target (TGT) are selling $1.5 billion in debt, but don't expect discounts. Target's 10-year notes seen around 92 basis points over 10-year Treasurys, while 3-year Wal-Mart notes are talked 43 to 48 basis points over three-year part of Treasury curve. That's because "safety and predictability" are in demand in bond land. (CSE) 3:01 (Dow Jones) It's starting to look like February may not have been a hot month for online trading. Closely-held Datek Online Holdings says trading activity at its Web-brokerage unit fell 9.9% from January and 21.6% from February 2001. Gregory Smith, an analyst at J.P. Morgan H&Q, says the sequential drop is "in line with our expectations for a 5%-10% drop in trades across the industry." Other Web brokers are soon expected to announce their February trading numbers. It "was clearly a slow month" for small-investor activity, Smith says. "While the recent market performance thus far in March is encouraging, we think some level of staying power will be necessary to attract mainstream investors back into the market." (GFC) 2:54 (Dow Jones) With quality rallies from the DJIA and Dow Transports, on the heels of the AMEX Market Value Index, Prudential's Ralph Acampora makes this pronouncement: "I can now say that the bottom in September wasn't 'A' bottom, but it was 'THE' bottom. That September low will not be retested anytime soon." He says the breakout on the DJIA "gives us an easy upside target of 11767." (TG) 2:47 (Dow Jones) S&P says a decision by the NYSE to review the listing of Williams Communications Group's (WCG) shares has no impact on the company's double-C-credit rating or status on the "negative watch" list. The listing is under review because the shares have had an average closing price below $1 for the last 30 days. The possibility of bankruptcy and decline in value of the company are reflected in the current rating, S&P said. (JD) 2:38 (Dow Jones) Here's a perfect example of why investors shouldn't necessarily take placeholders - the expected filing amounts on proposed IPOs - seriously. Citigroup (C) has filed to sell 210 million shares of Travelers at between $16 to $19 a share, giving the deal a value of $3.68 billion. Add to that a concurrent $850 million debt offering, and you have a deal worth $4.53 billion. When Travelers first filed the IPO its placeholder was for a deal worth up to $1 billion. Citigroup's Salomon, naturally, is leading the Travelers IPO. (RJH) 2:31 (Dow Jones) Here's how US Bancorp Piper Jaffray sees the Oracle (ORCL) situation: despite its revenue difficulties during the past several quarters, the company has been much more stable on the bottom line as a result of impressive cost management. But, as Piper has long cautioned, that can't last forever, and it now appears Oracle has hit a wall on this front. Oracle will now have to generate improved revenue growth to hit its margin and EPS targets.
The company's struggles are partly the result of a tough economy, but Piper also notes Oracle continues to lose share to PeopleSoft (PSFT) and SAP, which is a long-term worry. ORCL off 14% at $13.79. (TG) 2:15 (Dow Jones) Instead of receiving thanks for keeping the world out ofa deep recession, American consumers are seen as global spendthrifts. Merrill's Bruce Steinberg points out that bears believe an inevitable payback lies ahead, paving the way for a barely visible recovery or even a double-dip recession.
But, he says, the problem with that way of thinking is that there's little evidence the U.S. consumer is stretched, along with plenty of evidence that the U.S. savings rate is understated. (TG) 1:58 (Dow Jones) UBS Warburg ups price target on Mohawk (MHK) to $77 from $72, and 1Q EPS view to 75c from 65c. Says continued strength in the housing market and mild winter weather is contributing to better-than-expected sales trends for residential floor coverings. Mohawk's acquisition of Dal-Tile is now expected to close on March 20, which UBS says should contribute marginally to Mohawk's 1Q earnings. MHK up 3% at $64.84. (TG) 1:46 (Dow Jones) U.S. Transportation Secretary Mineta Monday said the Transportation Security Administration has begun the process of actively recruiting more than 30,000 federal security personnel to perform airport screening duties and other functions at U.S. commercial airports. (JCC) 1:22 (Dow Jones) Retailers report February sales on March 7. Prudential says low inventory levels are likely to negatively impact comps for several retailers, and says diversified names, like Abercrombie (ANF) and Gap (GPS), should continue to perform poorly. Women's and off-price retailers should show stronger performance, while across the industry, Pru still concerned about lack of newness, and sees little this spring to generate much excitement. Continues to recommend Ann Taylor (ANN), Intimate Brands (IBI), and Limited (LTD). (TG) 1:10 (Dow Jones) Ried, Thunberg and Co. economist Larry Greenberg isn't worried about a dollar slide, but he argues that the U.S. currency doesn't need to keep rising to show its strength. The market may realize this, and that could be a reason USD hasn't surged in response to healthy economic data recently. Another factor is lingering uneasiness - with post-Enron fallout, the low U.S. savings rate, and the high current-account deficit, Greenberg says.
(JEN) 12:58 (Dow Jones) Friday's rating cut by Moody's provides no new insight into earnings or cash flow prospects of Computer Associates (CA), SG Cowen notes, saying both remain sound. Keeps strong buy rating, bases on stable earnings prospects and low valuation. CA up 0.6% at $17. (TG) (END) DOW JONES NEWS 03-04-02 03:28 PM |