MARKET TALK: Don't Regulate Just For Sake Of Regulating
07 Mar 15:03
Edited by Thomas Granahan Of DOW JONES NEWSWIRES (Call Us: 201 938-5299; All Times Eastern) MARKET TALK can be found using code N/DJMT 3:03 (Dow Jones) Greenspan earlier cautioned against unnecessary regulation of energy derivatives during questioning from the Senate Banking Committee.
"There is a significant downside if we regulate where we do not have to in this area," he said. (RSC) 2:45 (Dow Jones) As always with the yen, there seems to be a mixed story behind today's big move. Some signs that foreigners have indeed been buying up Japanese shares, but many say they're not. "We're sort of neutral at the moment on Japan," says Edgar Peters, chief investment officer at Panagora Asset Management. "There still aren't any real signs that the problems are being taken care of." (GMM) 2:36 (Dow Jones) One drawback of e-tickets used to be that you couldn't re-book or connect from one airline to another without paper tickets. But that's changing. UAL's (UAL) United just launched "interline e-ticketing" with AMR's (AMR) American that allows the two carriers to accept e-ticket customers from each other. United already has a similar service with Air Canada, Continental (CAL) and Northwest (NWAC). The move will likely further increase the usage of e-tickets and help carriers slash costs. More than 73% of United's domestic customers use e-tickets. (SON) 2:19 (Dow Jones) Add Morgan Stanley to the list of those high on small caps.
The pick up in economic growth and attractive relative valuations should drive the outperformance, firm says, adding that its macro analysis points to a growth recommendation, but its concerns about tech and its importance to growth keeps it neutral as to value/growth outperformance. Consumer discretionary and industrials are favorite sectors, while underweight is warranted in IT, financials, and staples. (TG) 2:01 (Dow Jones) No hard newsto account for the 13% rise in shares of online gaming software provider CryptoLogic (CRYP), though the company has been meeting with retail investors in the U.S. and Canada this week reminding them that CryptoLogic has remained profitable during the downturn and has several growth initiatives planned, said CryptoLogic director of communications Nancy Chan-Palmateer. Shares of the Toronto company have been under pressure in recent months as several credit-card issuers, including MBNA (KRB) and Capital One (COF), stopped processing online gaming transactions. (SEW) 1:49 (Dow Jones) A few days after bumping up his target on the DJIA, Salomon Smith Barney's Tobias Levkovich out with another bullish note, saying stocks can do well if the dollar weakens (that's good news for bulls, because the dollar is getting hit further Thursday). Essentially, the economic prospects of the country tend to overwhelm bouts of dollar strength or weakness, he says.
"Dollar weakness could further stoke the Industrials names as they become more competitive globally," he adds. (TG) 1:38 (Dow Jones) Expanded by popular demand: With the recent big rally and with more stocks approaching and testing resistance levels, the Seidman/Skupp options team at Miller Tabak & Co. had produced a list of 34 stocks trading near 52-week-highs but whose defensive puts nonetheless are reasonably-priced.
Today they added more names to that list, including Ann Taylor (ANN), Applied Materials (AMAT), Bank of America (BAC), Citigroup (C), Lockheed Martin (LMT) and Maytag (MYG). Just in case you were looking for downside protection and needed some ideas. (KT) 1:29 (Dow Jones) Stocks have a softish tone to them, though things were a little worse earlier. Greenspan's comments didn't help because they were widely expected, and more positive economic data - in the form of productivity and jobless claims - can only do so much in the near term for a market that has been on fire. Dick Dickson, who watches the charts at Hilliard Lyons, says the majority of his short-term indicators are at overbought extremes. On the flip side, the market appeared to take a "so what" attitude to overbought readings yesterday. "This is usually the case in the early stages of strong rallies, so we will be carefully watching what happens in the market over the next few days," he says. (TG) 1:13 (Dow Jones) "The New Era strikes back," proclaims GKST economist Brian Wesbury, who says real GDP could grow at a rate approaching 5% during the second half of this year. (JCC) 1:01 (Dow Jones) Office superstore retailers are well set for current stage of the economic cycle, Goldman says. Its analysis suggests same-store sales growth for Staples (SPLS) and Office Depot (ODP) is much more closely tied to industrial production than to consumer spending, contrasting with the likes of Home Depot (HD) and Wal-Mart (WMT). Sees operating margin expansion for both Staples and Office Depot without sales upside, and anticipates some acceleration in same-store growth off depressed levels. The stocks should continue to benefit from this cyclical dynamic as production growth picks up.
(TG) 12:48 (Dow Jones) Calpine (CPN) and other power producers are having another fine trading day. Goldman Sachs' Jonathan Raleigh admits there has been an improvement in sentiment, as investors begin to recognize that liquidity issues aren't as dire as feared. Also helping: both power prices and economic indicators are strengthening, he said. Still, Raleigh notes investors shouldn't overlook short-covering, which has been a key factor in driving prices higher.
For example, the short interest in Calpine recently peaked at more than 70 million shares; compare this with 300 million shares outstanding. CPN up 8.6% at $11.80. (CCC) 12:34 (Dow Jones) Most notable about today's 3.5% jump in the JPY is the relative calmness of the European currencies vs. the dollar, says Ashraf Laidi, at MG Financial. "This is quite different from the Oct. 1998 collapse in USD/JPY, which was accompanied by a decline in the USD against the European currencies," he says. This lends some support to the notion that this is strictly a Japan-driven play, rather than a global growth-driven play. USD/JPY 127.05, EUR/USD $0.8796. (GMM) 12:23 (Dow Jones) Mortgage rates rose modestly this week on news of economic strength, Freddie Mac says. For the week ending March 8, 30-year fixed rate mortgages averaged 6.87%, up from 6.80% last week. The average for 15-year mortgages rose to 6.37% from 6.28% last week, and the average for 1-year ARM rose to 5.07% from 4.94% a week ago. Fees and points for all mortgage types remained unchanged at 0.7%.
12:11 (Dow Jones) Americans hitting the road is good news for Cendant (CD), which provides travelers with rental cars and lodging at any of its several hotels. So when J.P. Morgan got a whiff that that travel is improving that's enough for the firm to raise its 2002 EPS for Cendant. "Based on proprietary research and anecdotal data, we believe travel volumes for the first half of the year will be substantially higher than we previously expected," said analyst Amanda Tepper, who repeated her buy rating on the stock yesterday.
(CCW) (END) DOW JONES NEWS 03-07-02 03:03 PM |