To: Eric L who wrote (18686 ) 3/8/2002 2:28:29 PM From: Eric L Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 34857 re: Seybold's Stooge Says ... ... in the spirit of dehyping the hype while liberally spreading some fertilizer consisting of Fear, Uncertainty, and Doubt ... >> It Sounds Like WCDMA 3G Will Be Available By The End Of The Year---It's All Hype Barney Dewey Analysis 4Mobility 7 march 2002 I have been seeing a number of stories <snip> that WCDMA 3G handsets will be available by the end of the year. Maybe so, but don't look for there to be any networks in place, except in Japan. Motorola made a similar announcement a couple of week back. During a briefing I asked when they thought the first networks would be available. No hesitation, 2005 was the answer. There is a PR hype and positioning game going on between the handset makers about their ability to deliver WCDMA devices but the reality is there will not be any significant WCDMA networks outside of Japan until mid-decade. << >> The Gprs Build-Out Is Slowing Barney Dewey Analysis 4Mobility 7 march 2002 It looks like the pressure is on to lower capital expenditures at AT&T and Cingular. See the recent stories below. It appears that this will slow the GPRS build-out. I doubt AT&T will make 50% of their planned rollout of 100 markets with GPRS by the end of this year. Nationwide GPRS, especially in smaller markets, looks to be years away. Plan to use circuit-switched 9.6 Kbps connections outside the major markets. See: AT&T Wireless Updates 2002 Guidance AT&T Wireless said that to the extent that its lower mobility EBITDA projection diminishes the cash it expects to generate in 2002, it will reduce total capital spending by roughly comparable amounts -- possibly in the range of $200 million. More @ attws.com And: Cingular Takes Steps To Lower GSM Conversion Costs With introduction of Adaptive Multi-Rate (AMR) Vocoders in terminals and network infrastructure, Cingular says that it can increase spectral efficiency by an additional 200%. Cingular estimates this technology will significantly reduce previously projected capital expenses for new radio equipment, as well as associated operational costs. More @ cellular-news.com << - Eric -