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Strategies & Market Trends : John Pitera's Market Laboratory -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Chip McVickar who wrote (5812)3/9/2002 2:50:37 PM
From: Raymond Duray  Respond to of 33421
 
Hola Chip,

How about a weekend version of Uncle Al:

cagle.slate.msn.com

Cheerio!



To: Chip McVickar who wrote (5812)3/11/2002 9:37:16 AM
From: John Pitera  Respond to of 33421
 
Hi Chip, Thanks for posting that article by Paul McCulley, I'd already seen where Greenspan is endorsing a Cyclically-Accelerating Profit Rate Of Inflation. that will "take-back" the pricing and margin discounts that corporations have been compelled to make The past few years.

This article by Paul McCulley is superbly written and he articulates the bullish asset allocation case for stocks very sublimely.

Greenspan is probably right in his perspective that

Ultimately, the composition of real investment in our economy will reflect--among other influences--the attitudes toward risk of those who own the financial claims against the capital stock. If savers become more risk-tolerant, financial risk premiums will decline. In response to these reduced penalties on risk, firms will eventually adjust the mix of their endeavors toward more speculative projects -but, importantly, presumably ones that also offer higher prospective rates of return on average, which more often than not translate into higher long-term average economic growth.

The nation's savers, daily in the marketplace, exhibit an obvious sensitivity to the association between expected return and risk. Indeed, many are clearly willing to forgo the higher long-term rates of return on equity for the greater tranquility of the lesser risk associated with most debt instruments--in effect forsaking more economic growth for a more stable, less stressful, economic environment. As a consequence, returns on common stocks over rolling twenty-year periods have almost always outpaced the returns on less risky securities.”


I may just have to post that entire article for posterity in a bit.

John