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Strategies & Market Trends : Stock Attack II - A Complete Analysis -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Ibexx who wrote (31906)3/9/2002 2:57:30 PM
From: HairBall  Respond to of 52237
 
Ibexx: Entry/exist timing range signals need to not only be timely, but should also encompass a price range that makes trading them profitable. If a signal rings which is good from that point forward until let’s say the high of the following trading day, but the eventual decline is not required to go lower than the price at which the timing signal first rang, or vise versa for a buy, the system is inherently flawed. Why, because even though the timing range may encompass a pivot point the expected minimum retrace may not extend above or below the beginning price point of the timing signal, thus building in the possibility for a loss for anyone acting on the signal to early or to late. In addition, timing systems that can give multiple sell or buy signals without providing re-entry signals in alternation are inherently flawed as well.

Intraday timing range signals that can be rung intraday, but un-rung due to the lack of "end of day" confirmation should be viewed as a non-signal until confirmed, IMO.

After having said the above, knowing when to expect a pivot in a given time frame can be a very valuable tool as long as one understands the burden of actually determining the price pivot point falls on one’s own shoulders, which forces you share in the success or failure of a correct timing signal.

In addition, one needs to understand the cycle and expected normal results of a timing signal...short, medium or longer-term. Don't expect a short-term cycle signal to produce long-term results, nor give it credit when it does. Expect from it what it is, nothing more and nothing less.

Just some food for thought...

Regards,
LG



To: Ibexx who wrote (31906)3/9/2002 3:58:15 PM
From: Ibexx  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 52237
 
Naz Summation Index ($NASI) has convincingly crossed its 20d MA - a bullish signal?

Back in mid January, several TA gurus on this thread and others pointed out that this indicator has almost invariably pinpointed past market turning points, with small timing variances.

I was totally convinced by the beautiful correlation at the time, but now the gurus are very quiet about the bullish reversal.....<g>

stockcharts.com[m,a]daclyyay[de][pb20][vc60]&pref=G

Ibexx



To: Ibexx who wrote (31906)3/10/2002 12:23:05 PM
From: waverider  Respond to of 52237
 
It never ends.

wr