Silicon Investor (SI) -- The First Internet Community

STOCKTALK

We've detected that you're using an ad content blocking browser plug-in or feature. Ads provide a critical source of revenue to the continued operation of Silicon Investor. We ask that you disable ad blocking while on Silicon Investor in the best interests of our community. If you are not using an ad blocker but are still receiving this message, make sure your browser's tracking protection is set to the 'standard' level.

Strategies & Market Trends : Zeev's Turnips - No Politics -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: TREND1 who wrote (39576)	3/10/2002 11:00:36 PM
From: Crimson Ghost	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 99280

Larry: Looking back the market usually is skating on very thin ice whenever ther Fed model reaches 20% overvalued. The big exception of course was the monumental 1999/2000 blowoff and 1987 to a lesser extent

To: TREND1 who wrote (39576)	3/14/2002 11:42:48 AM
From: Jdaasoc	Read Replies (2) \| Respond to of 99280

the FED Model is how quickly the relationship between the SP500 and the 10 year bond causes over valued and over sold conditions Any updates since bonds have stopped their 5 day slide. Was thinking about FED model variables briefly the variables: S&P earnings est. and 10 yr bonds rate are pretty much based upon future earnings expectations. In addition, they usually move in same direction as applied in your equation. Higher earnings growth estimates in S&P tends to lead to higher bond rates off recent lows. This could be part of the wide amplitude swings of over bought and oversold observed.