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Strategies & Market Trends : Zeev's Turnips - No Politics -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: Shack who wrote (39992)	3/11/2002 11:53:14 PM
From: Psycho-Social	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 99280

I wonder why you think the VIX range which is approx 5 years old is changing? Although I haven't spent a lot of time studying this, I/ve noticed that the S&P hasn't made any sharp up or down moves since the post Sept 21st rally slowed down in late November. Looking back at prior history, I believe, that, if month after month goes by without any extreme action, the VIX extremes will narrow. The lower Tech weighting in the S&P also makes future high volatility less likely. I do, however, believe that we're overbought right now, based on trader sentiment.