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Politics : Formerly About Applied Materials -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Sam Citron who wrote (61943)3/12/2002 3:12:45 PM
From: Jan Crawley  Respond to of 70976
 
Just covered all my Amat short at $49.89.. and good luck to all.



To: Sam Citron who wrote (61943)3/12/2002 3:44:38 PM
From: kdavy  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 70976
 
OT diversification: Sam, I am guilty of the same disease ( lack of diversification). I believe that diversification may be good strategy for the long term investors, but for traders it does not pay to diversify. To maximize profits via trading, here is my theory (it is empirical so it may not be a theory) but a set of guidelines.
1. The company should make money and lots of it.
2. It should have a unique product line that offers a great barrier to competition.
3. profit margins should be high (??)
4. should have a continuous record of growth.
5. CEO's and PR department should not drive the stock price, let the record speak.
Once these criteria are met then f
1 follow the charts.
2. limit your losses (most important), be ready to jump ship if the ship is not going to your destination
3. don't get too greedy

I day trade, weekly trade and monthly trade. I rarely hold stocks more then few months.
( exception: I have some amat stocks (100%) in my son and daughter's portfolio since oct 2000)

My favorite stocks are: first choice in order of preference: mxim, lltc, amat, altr, nvls, klac, xlnx
second choice: amgn, sunw, orcl, itwo

on the horizon: emc, csco.......

Currently, I am holding 1000 sunw., last week I was holding mxim, lltc , amat, altr 125% of my account (margin)

Here is my mantra, focus, focus, minimize losses; I use all avenues, options, covered calls, naked calls, shorts, longs but > 80% of trades a stocks and long.

aapne Hindi kahan seekhi,

Namaste!

kdavy

I am almost all cash right now except 1000 sunw ( target to accumulate 10k sunw over next two months)



To: Sam Citron who wrote (61943)3/12/2002 3:52:57 PM
From: Fred Levine  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 70976
 
Sam -- Altho I haven't read Tobin, it does seem sensible- if not obvious- that diversification reduces risk. Also, it follows that diversification is maximized if investments are as orthogonal as possible. Therefore, it is prudent to invest in real estate, foreign stocks, bonds, currency, art, gold, cash, etc, as well as stocks from different business groups. This served me well during the recent free-fall of the NASDAQ.

However, what is correlated somewhat is prudence in each of these areas. The person who said, "A fool and his money are soon parted," did not win a Nobel prize, but should be considered for one <vbg>.

fred



To: Sam Citron who wrote (61943)3/12/2002 4:23:27 PM
From: Cary Salsberg  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 70976
 
RE: "Cary's allocation between the cash basket and the stock basket seems to be quite variable and highly dependent on the expected relative yields of each of these baskets."

This is not true! Stocks were ~ 15% of liquid assets in 1998 and have moved to ~22% of liquid assets in 2002. Liquid assets increased ~65% between 1998 and 2002. My stock allocation is what I feel I can afford to lose, and it has no relation to relative yields.