MARKET TALK: Slow Burn Goes On, But Japan OK For Now
12 Mar 14:07
Edited by Thomas Granahan Of DOW JONES NEWSWIRES (Call Us: 201 938-5299; All Times Eastern) MARKET TALK can be found using code N/DJMT 2:06 (Dow Jones) Fitch's current credit rating of Japan's sovereign debt is not in imminent danger of a downgrade. Reiterating the conclusions of his March 6 outlook for Japan's financial dilemma, Brian Coulton, senior director of Fitch's sovereign ratings group, said "although unsustainable, the fiscal problem is of a slow-burn nature." 1:52 (Dow Jones) It's tough to keep a strong market down. Blue chips have just turned positive after their morning retreat, led, interestingly enough, by IBM. Interesting because techs in general are not behaving well, as evidenced by the 2.5% drop in the Nasdaq 100, 5.7% easing on the Amex Networking Index, and 3% fall on the SOX. Alcoa, McDonald's, 3M, and P&G also lend a hand on the Dow. "Overbought and oversold conditions can be resolved by either (time or price), but a sign of strength is the ability of a market to not respond to an overbought condition with weakness, but to resolve it through the decay of time," says Lehman's Jeff deGraaf. DJIA up 9 at 10620, Nasdaq Comp off 37 at 1892, and S&P 500 drops 5 to 1162. (TG) 1:36 (Dow Jones) Robertson Stephens out with its first opinion on Blockbuster (BBI), and it's a good one. Says company's dominant position, consistent track record, sizable store base, and strong cash-flow generation positions Blockbuster well for incremental revenue and growth opportunities. Says risk/reward is favorable, and shares should be helped by strong industry trends and good execution. Target over 12 months is $32. BBI off 1.2% at $24.13. (TG) 1:25 (Dow Jones) UBS Warburg downgrades Immunomedics (IMMU) to hold from buy on valuation. "While we continue to remain positive on the company's lead product, LymphoCide, we believe a lack of near-term catalysts is likelyto limit the potential upside from current levels." The firm adds "we are increasingly sensitive to regulatory and competitive dynamics," meaning it may take longer to get the product to market than originally expected. UBS cuts its price target to $22 from $28. IMMU shares are losing 7.8% to $18.24. (GS) 1:07 (Dow Jones) Lehman looks for initial unemployment claims, to be released Thursday, to hold steady at 375,000, where they have been for the last few weeks. Expects current account deficit to widen to $101.2B in 4Q, from $94.5B in 3Q. Also expects business inventories to fall 0.4% in January, matching their December decline. Non-petroleum import prices probably inched lower in February, falling 0.1% and reversing last month's unexpected advance. (MCG) 12:54 (Dow Jones) There's some confusion in the marketplace about a new offering from Anteon International (ANT), the defense contractor that went public today. Talk is that the company plans a secondary sale of 2.5 million shares after the IPO. Actually, though, that's not true. The confusion comes from an SEC filing where the company filed to sell an additional 2.5 million shares. But those were shares added to the actual IPO, which offered 15 million instead of 12.5 million, as planned. Anteon's shares remain up, trading recently up 14% at $20.60. (RJH) 12:48 (Dow Jones) Fed Governor Gramlich questions whether the economy actually ever was in a recession. Speaking at an MBA program, he said, "From the Fed's standpoint, we have been through something that may or may not be a recession." Gramlich declined to explain the comment when asked about it after the program. (MAP) 12:39 (Dow Jones) Just in case you live on the moon and weren't aware of the reasons dissident Hewlett-Packard (HWP) board member Walter Hewlett is against the proposed merger of H-P and Compaq Computer (CPQ), he will hold a teleconference with investors to explain why. It's safe to assume his meeting, after the close of trading Tuesday, will be targeted at those few investors who haven't read the barrage of press releases and advertisements the Hewlett camp has sent out since he announced his opposition to the merger in November. It's also probably safe to assume H-P will have its own comments after the Hewlett conference call. (DLF) 12:27 (Dow Jones) Six months after 9/11, Invision Technologies (INVN), which makes bomb-detection devices like those used at airports, has seen its stock price rise more than 1410%. It hit a 52-week high today and most recently is up 4.4% to $47.01. You'd think cautious option investors would be buying defensive puts to protect gains, but it's the bullish calls that continue to be active, traders note. In fact, there is even interest in calls expiring in further months - perhaps because some investors think there is a horizon of some years when these devices will still be in demand. Invision's March 50 calls, which are out-of-the-money and will expire Friday, are still fairly rich and are up 55 cents to 75 cents Tuesday. (KT) 12:18 (Dow Jones) Nomura Securities has moved many of its staff back to the 2 World Financial Center office. The equity and fixed-income division, including trading, sales and research, will be the last group to move and is expected to be back in WFC by the end of March. All phone numbers would remain the same as pre-Sept. 11. (JSX) 12:05 (Dow Jones) Credit Suisse First Boston Chief Executive John Mack tells investors and reporters in London that he's certain more job cuts are coming in the firm's investment banking division. (LC) (END) DOW JONES NEWS 03-12-02 02:07 PM |