MARKET TALK: Greenspan Sounds Like He Did Last Week
13 Mar 13:56
Edited by Thomas Granahan Of DOW JONES NEWSWIRES (Call Us: 201 938-5299; All Times Eastern) MARKET TALK can be found using code N/DJMT 1:56 (Dow Jones) Economic activity is "beginning to firm," says Fed chief Greenspan, in a speech that's mostly about social security. This economic assessment is similar to the one he gave almost a week ago. (MSD) 1:45 (Dow Jones) On Tuesday, advancing issues on the NYSE hit 1539, while decliners totaled 1616. Arnhold & S. Bleichroeder's John Roque says it was the first session since Feb. 21 that decliners topped advancers, and the prior 12 days in a row of advancing stocks topping declining stocks was a string of unprecedented consecutive wins going back to mid-July 1992. "So we figure that the likelihood of the recent advance continuing unabated is unlikely," he says.
(TG) 1:31 (Dow Jones) Read his lips on e-mail. A fairly common e-mail hoax came up at a press briefing with the Senate Majority Leader Wednesday when a media editor fell for the phony e-mail that claims Congress is set to tax e-mail traffic. Leader Daschle, D-S.D., waded boldly into the issue, stating between laughter: "There isn't a chance ever that you will tax e-mail messages - ever, ever. Read my lips." (MHA) 1:17 (Dow Jones) A mid-session options snapshot: Defensive puts trading a lot more busily with today's stock slide than during any of the pullbacks this month; maybe caution is returning after a long spell of bullishness. At the CBOE, the ratio of equity puts traded to calls rose to 0.72 - higher than anytime so far this month, which had mostly seen readings between 0.47 and 0.55. The put/call ratio for index options also is up to 1.64, compared with 1.32 Tuesday and 0.90 Monday. (KT) 1:01 (Dow Jones) Outplacement firm Challenger, Gray & Christmas says college grads should be given cell phones, gift certificates for pre-interview manicures and hair cuts, shoe-polishing kits and joke books, to make it through the tough process of finding that first job. (MSD) 12:43 (Dow Jones) Latest IT spending survey from Goldman Sachs shows the belt tightening continues during the first two months of the year, though to a limited extent. While IT managers have extensive wish lists, a robust spending rebound, even in the second half, seems increasingly unlikely, the firm says.
(TG) 12:30 (Dow Jones) Lehman expects total and core PPI figures, to be released Friday, to rise 0.1% in February. Predicts that industrial production index will rise for first time since July, creeping 0.2% higher in February. Capacity utilization rate likely higher, to 74.4% from 74.2%, well below 82% figure usually associated with inflation pressures. Believes that consumer sentiment index will move higher in early March, to 92.0 from 90.7 in Feb. (MCG) 12:18 (Dow Jones) After getting the lowdown from 99 slot floor managers, Goldman Sachs analyst Steven Kent concluded that a bullish case for slot machines makers can still be made. Shares of International Game Technology (IGT) and Alliance Gaming (ALLY) should continue to outperform as the replacement cycle for machines on casino floors continues to accelerate and cashless gaming continues to gain penetration. (DDO) 12:08 (Dow Jones) GE Capital's massive $11B bond issuance certainly throws water on the argument that the Enron (ENRNQ) effect has dampened interest across-the-board in corporate bonds. Deal was reportedly largest ever triple-A issuance by U.S. company and given that it saw $16.5B in total interest, suggests demand for good quality corporate debt is as healthy as ever. This all bodes well for the USD, particularly as M&A flows to U.S. have tanked. (GMM) 11:54 (Dow Jones) About 10.8 million stock options that Monsanto (MON) issued to employees and directors through March 2001 that have an exercise price averaging $20.38 a share can be exercised beginning Friday. Between October 2000 and March 2001, the company issued to employees and directors about 22.7 million options through one-time "founders' grants" in connection with its IPO and other option programs. Fifty percent of the options vest Friday, while the rest vest mainly on March 15, 2003, the filing said. Monsanto options issued as "founders' grants" have an exercise price of $20. MON up 1.3% at $31.68. (CS) 11:46 (Dow Jones) The 24% decline in the MBA refinancing index for the week ended March 8 has not fully reflected the 15-20 BP increase in mortgage rates that week, Salomon Smith Barney says. Firm expects further decline in refi activity next week. (JSX) 11:40 (Dow Jones) At 1.75%, fed funds is "100 basis points too low" given "current fundamentals," say analysts at Bank of America in NY. "The quicker the Fed takes back some of the 'emergency easing' the better off the long end of the curve will be." (MM) 11:36 (Dow Jones) Citigroup (C) expects higher net credit losses across most of its business lines due to the weakening global economy. Citigroup said net credit losses in its Citi Cards business will increase over 2001 as a result of continued economic weakness, including rising bankruptcy filings and delinquent loans. Citi Cards managed loans delinquent 90 days or more were $2.135 billion, or 1.98% of loans, at Dec. 31, 2001, compared with $1.497 billion, or 1.46%, at Dec. 31, 2000. C off 1.6% to $48.52. (DH) 11:21 (Dow Jones) Arthur Andersen resigned as TheStreet.com's (TSCM) independent accountant following comments made by Director James Cramer about Arthur Andersen and its chief executive. "This has been directly caused by what we believe to be inappropriate public comments about our chief executive officer and our firm made by a member of your board of directors," Arthur Andersen said in a letter to TheStreet CEO Thomas Clarke. Arthur Andersen said it's unable to continue to work with TheStreet.com in a "cooperative manner" due to the comments about Andersen CEO Joseph Berardino made by Cramer during CNBC's "America Now" show, which Cramer co-hosts. In a letter to Andersen, Clarke said, "having worked with us for some time, surely Andersen could not imagine we would be willing to (or even capable of) controlling the public utterances of Mr. Cramer, a journalist and television personality." (CD) 11:07 (Dow Jones) The early weakness in stocks is similar to what we've seen so far this week, only this time there's actually something to explain it: the softer-than-expected retail sales numbers caught Wall Street by surprise. Even though the consumer is still shopping, just an early hint of a slowdown will worry economy watchers, who still haven't seen enough of a pickup in business spending and end-market demand to feel comfortable. Of course, we'll soon be coming up on the time of day when stocks have decided to perk up. DJIA off 66 at 10566, Nasdaq Comp eases 20 to 1877, and S&P 500 off 7 at 1158. (TG) 10:54 (Dow Jones) Moody's says it will rate Computer Associates (CA) proposed $500 million convertible notes Baa2. The outlook is negative, which reflects cash-flow and refinancing concerns, and uncertainty surrounding investigations by the SEC and the U.S. Attorney's office, Moody's says. (JD) 10:43 (Dow Jones) Mom always said, "Don't say anything about someone if you can't say anything good." The paper sector would love it if Prudential analyst John Tumazos heeded such motherly advice. Tumazos initiated coverage of paper and forest products with an underperform rating, showering hold ratings on pile of stocks such as Georgia-Pacific (GP) and Weyerhaeuser (WY). "Strong dollar, foreign competition, very high debt levels, electronic substitution, and rising postal rates undermine 'bullish consolidation thesis,"' said Tumazos, who sees the paper group growing 1.0% to 1.7% over the long term and wood at 1.5%. (CCW) 10:29 (Dow Jones) In another sign that business is getting back to normal after the terrorist attacks, Sandler O'Neill has restarted its Financial Stock Focus List. Publication of the list first began in January 2001, but was halted after Sept. 11, when the company lost 66 of its staff in the disaster. The firm has since reinstated coverage on 112 of the 140 companies it previously covered. (CWM) (END) DOW JONES NEWS 03-13-02 01:56 PM |