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Strategies & Market Trends : Zeev's Turnips - No Politics -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: Zeev Hed who wrote (40962)	3/14/2002 11:53:40 PM
From: t2	Respond to of 99280

deleted.

To: Zeev Hed who wrote (40962)	3/15/2002 1:04:21 AM
From: LTK007	Respond to of 99280

<Mish, don't get too negative, the beginning of April is one of the biggest period of retirement funds deployment, not just the 401K, but also all the individual SEP-IRA accounts. Furthermore, the earnings estimates for April have been lowered so much that we will get many "upside" surprises (of course, upside from drastically lowered estimates). The two elements should, IMTO, power a strong spring rally, and it may start in anticipation before April 1st.> from Stock Almanac "April is rarely a dangerous month except in bear markets", "The best 6-months of the year end in April.", "Stocks anticipate great 1st quarter by rising sharply before earnings are reported rather than after" "The first 1/2 of month tends to do better despite April 15th tax day". all quoted from Stock Trader's Almanac.--- Zeev we need MORE sell-off, imo, to launch April. But if we don't get more sell-off and launch hard into April 15, then come mid April it is going to get ugly. Could well be like the week of 4/14 2000. The momo players would have ridden the ride up and will sell on cue("like the April play is done,dude,bail":).Max

To: Zeev Hed who wrote (40962)	3/15/2002 1:29:50 AM
From: LTK007	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 99280

ZEEV we didn't hit our bottom for April upswing until 4/4 last year.But what a swing that was.Max

To: Zeev Hed who wrote (40962)	3/15/2002 9:17:36 AM
From: mishedlo	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 99280

Thanks Zeev. I am flat now. I am almost always flat, however. I want to catch the turn but not be too early. Now what to do with DJX sept puts I am in. My intention was to hold but if we are going another 300-500 higher then I would do far better to try and reposition them in May. M