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Strategies & Market Trends : Zeev's Turnips - No Politics -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: dvdw© who wrote (41373)3/19/2002 5:54:10 AM
From: Psycho-Social  Respond to of 99280
 
Trim Tabs own historical charts show money flow decidedly positive from April 2000 onward for about 9 months
Actually, the Stock Fund flow data from that period did an excellent job of serving as a contrarian indicator. They helped me make some money in 2000. The trick is to chart the data yourself and not depend on someone else's interpretation of it. In early 2000, AMG Data was reporting huge $ inflows to stock funds, but it wasn't getting a lot of publicity. The ICI Group eventually reported monstrously large inflows for February, at the end of March, but by then the 1st leg down was under way. February inflows totalled $53.5 billion, much more than flowed in for the whole of last year. If you were to chart the data against Market averages, you'd see that it's not whether we get inflows or outflows that correlates with stock prices, it's the size of the inflows vs the prior months, i.e. the February 2000 inflows were, and remain, the highest ever. The March 2000 stock price levels were, and remain, the highest ever.