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To: Cactus Jack who wrote (48753)3/17/2002 2:43:04 PM
From: stockman_scott  Respond to of 65232
 
Fund manager is long on gold and cash, has problems with the American dream

Hiding Places
March 18th, 2002
Barron's Online

Fund manager is long on gold and cash, has problems with the American dream

An Interview With Paul Stuka ~ At Fidelity during that firm's glory years in the 'Eighties, first as a health-care analyst, then as an assistant portfolio manager on a number of funds, Stuka came to fame as the manager of the Fidelity OTC Fund when it was launched in 1984. OTC was the second-best-performing mutual fund in the country in 1985, next to George Noble's Fidelity Overseas Fund. When the fund's assets approached $1 billion the next year, Stuka left to form a long-short hedge fund.

Stuka Associates' record sizzled in the next five years before being undone by an interest-rate cut in late 1991. Stuka then went on to work at Teton Partners with Noble, did a stint at State Street Management & Research, and was a managing director at Longwood Partners with Bob Davidson before striking out on his own again in the middle of 2000. Named Osiris Partners, after the Egyptian god of the afterlife, Stuka's latest long-short fund is tiny, with only about $8 million in assets, but it has turned out top-notch results through top-down, theme-driven, value-oriented analysis. In its first six months, Boston-based Osiris produced a gross return of 29%, followed by a 17% gross gain last year and, so far this year, 30%. For why the portfolio is currently 25% net short and heavily invested in cash and gold, please read on.

-- Sandra Ward

Barron's: What's your take on the market at this point?

Stuka: I look constantly at the Fed fair- value calculation. It gives you a good idea of whether the market is overvalued or undervalued. By that calculation, the market is discounting about $62 in S&P earnings for this year.

Q: What's your estimate?
A: I have been using $52. The market is about 18%-19% overvalued. People are counting on a big snap-back, going from losses to big earnings by the end of the year. Last year the S&P earned somewhere around 40. Whether this year comes in at $52 or $42 depends on two things holding up: the stock market and the real-estate market. That's where people have made their bets. Assets are in stocks and in homes. People have borrowed against both of those asset classes over the last few years.

Q: The U.S. consumer wasn't always this way.
A: A lot of lessons were learned in the 1930s, 1940s and 1950s. Certainly, my parents were never consumers. It was true of the whole generation that went through the 'Thirties and World War II following that. Starting sometime in the 'Sixties and 'Seventies and certainly in the 'Eighties and 'Nineties we became a consumption economy. That creates problems -- a very low savings rate, for one. We as a nation have become dependent on foreign capital. That's happened here with a trade deficit approaching $400 billion and a current-account deficit at $500 billion. You never know when that is going to end, but you know the risk factor is growing. Consumer debt as a percentage of income is the highest it's ever been. The nice part is, rates have come down. People are buying homes, and buying homes is wonderful for the economy because you get the full effect of that home sale. The construction, the materials, the labor, and so on, and that goes through this year's GDP. It is a big bang for the economy. But the debt is with you for the next 15-30 years and the debt has to be serviced somehow.

"When people are worried about the financial system, they buy gold."

Q: What do you think about real estate at this point?
A: There is a mini-bubble going in the housing market. Let's be honest. There are positives for the U.S. housing market. There is a growing population. You have a culture of home ownership in the U.S. -- something like 70% of U.S. families own their own homes. That is the highest in history. The tax laws encourage owning your own home because you can deduct the interest. Home prices have never really gone down nationally. In 1990-91, they were about flat, though in the high-price markets they went down. Home prices have been appreciating 5%-7% a year for the past five to six years. But if you look at home equity, the percentage of equity the homeowner has in his home, it has gone flat. Let's assume the house price has gone up 5% or 6% for five years for a 30%-35% increase in value, but home equity as a percentage of value has gone dead flat. For every $2 in appreciation, the homeowner is taking one out. It is the leverage that bothers me. On a stock you can get 1-to-1 leverage. You buy a $100 stock for $50. On a home mortgage you put down 20%, and sometimes not even that, so your leverage factor is much higher. Even if the consumer pays down margin debt on stocks, they have gone into a higher-leveraged asset in homes. I find that bothersome. What's also bothersome is if you look at the median size of the home, it has grown by 17% in the last 15 years. People have to have somewhere to live, but they don't have to live in the mini-palaces that have been built over the last 15 years. There is risk there.

Q: Aside from leverage, do you have other concerns with real estate?
A: I am worried about people's belief that it is a safe investment. If you own a home, the one thing you find out is there are always bills. There's the mortgage, obviously, but also taxes, insurance, electricity and phones, and then the lawn has to be mowed, the snow has to be plowed. There are big costs. Most people believe the capital in their home is going up every year. That all works as long as people can afford to keep paying the mortgage and you don't have inflation in other areas.

Q: How big a deal are Enron and the accounting issues?
A: Go to the textbook, turn to the post-bubble environment and the next chapter will be recriminations and tightening of standards. What is unbelievable to me in this market is what is important one week is totally forgotten the next. Two weeks ago it was a different world. People were much more concerned about Japan. People were much more concerned about Enron. They were much more concerned about IBM. We saw a couple of better statistics indicating the economy was getting better. Greenspan spoke and said the world is better. Gee, whatever happened to Enron? Whatever happened to all these accounting issues? Whatever happened to the stock-options issue? From the close March 1 to midday the next Tuesday, the semiconductor index rose 20%. In 2½ days!

Q: What explains the volatility
A: Hedge funds, to a large extent. There are thousands of hedge funds. They are managed by younger, fast-money people, a lot of whom made their money on the long side and don't have a lot of experience on the short side. They haven't been through a lot of short squeezes. Two things are going on: They are getting squeezed and feel compelled to cover. And they don't want to miss the moves so they go long on the other side.

Q: What are your thoughts on gold here?
A: I believe gold is in a secular bull market. But you are going to have a lot of volatility. Gold had been an awful area for 20 years because there was a secular bull market for financial assets. Yet looking at supply-demand, there has been a negative situation for eight or nine years. Mine production was growing very slowly and demand was outstripping the supply. It was masked by the industry's forward-selling programs and central-bank selling. There is a favorable primary production profile. What gives me the most optimism is the Japanese public buying gold. The country is lowering its guarantee on savings deposits, so people are moving into gold. Japan has imported a lot of gold over the last six or eight weeks. When people get worried about the financial system, they buy gold.

Q: Do you buy the stocks or the bullion?
A: I buy the stocks. But one of the issues in buying the stocks, to be quite honest, is none of these guys has production growth. This year the only major -- and I use the word major very loosely -- the only gold producer of the top 20 that has production growth is Agnico-Eagle Mines. This year will probably be flat in terms of global industry production. Next year will be down a couple of percent. The percentage decrease will keep growing because there is no exploration and no mines under construction.

Q: Makes it tough to pick a stock, then.
A: You try to find the ones that have some growth or the ability to expand. Goldcorp has always been my favorite. If I showed you the chart of Goldcorp, you wouldn't know it is a gold company because it has been going up for the last four years. They have had production growth in Canada. It's a fantastic mine. This year they are not going to have growth because they have shut down part of the mine to do more exploration. But they have growth potential. Newmont Mining is the one people are going to buy in the U.S. If you are a U.S. manager and you want to be in North America, you don't have many choices. Homestake is gone. Battle Mountain. Nothing is left of those companies. Barrick Gold is a great company. They have done a fantastic job. But they have always been hedged. Placer Dome has a bad production profile. It is declining, and declining at a pretty good clip. So you have Newmont, which just bought Franco Nevada. Those guys are among the smartest guys in the business and they just made a huge bet with their personal money by taking Newmont stock.

Table: Stuka's Picks...And Pans

Q: How much of your portfolio is in gold?
A: It has bounced around between 25% and 35%. I believe gold works in any environment going forward, unless we go back to a low-inflation, the-world-is-wonderful investment attitude. I don't think you are going to lose a lot of money. You have a very favorable supply-demand outlook. If the world keeps growing, there is going to be more jewelry. India and China believe gold is money. The Chinese Central Bank could be buying a lot of gold. They have a very low weighting in gold compared to almost every developed country. Gold is about 3% of their reserves. The average of other countries is about 9%-10%-11%. The only thing I foresee going wrong with gold is we enter a perfect world of low inflation for years.

Q: What has been working this year?
A: Biotech shorts.

Q: Such as?
A: I am short some Cephalon.

Q: Since when?
A: A couple of weeks. But I have been in it three different times in the last month. In this kind of market particularly, when my shorts get hit, I take the money.

Q: What's your argument against this one?
A: The growth rate. This year is going to be very back-end loaded. The earnings estimate for the first quarter is 16 cents. Estimates for the full year are around $1.05-$1.10 a share. That's aggressive and it means they have to really ramp it up. Here is a stock that has had a big move and is at a very high valuation, even assuming they do $1.05. The stock is at 66. Technically, that looks like a top to me, too. Even if I am wrong, the stock is at 60 times earnings and I don't think I am going to get hurt too badly.

Q: Anything you like?
A: I like Monro Muffler Brake, which installs mufflers and brakes. It should earn between $1.20 and $1.25 a share this fiscal year, ending March, and $1.40 a share next year. It trades at just under $16 a share. It's a play on the aging auto fleet. The average age of autos is lengthening and the consumer is pulling back on spending. It's got nice geographic placement in the Northeast, is expanding through acquisitions and showing unit growth. It's also getting business by undercutting dealers CarMaxx and AutoNation on the prices they charge for parts and services. It's not exciting, but it's cheap and shows steady progressive growth.

Q: How about another pick?
A: Another one that is still cheap is Per-Se Technologies. This is a cash-flow story. It's a physician-service company that's got a new management team for the third time. They provide administrative services. They have application software and online payment services, but what you are really buying here is the cash flow. The key to this is the physician- services business. The company was doing so badly for a while because they were losing clients. It costs the company X number of dollars to get clients, so it is essential for it to keep 95% of that business to cover the costs. That's the target rate. This is the old Medaphis Physician Services.

Q: How much are they earning?
A: Earnings last quarter were three cents a share, but we are looking at cash flow of $1.65 this year, and the stock is in the mid-12s. It has been working higher. I bought it at $8 a share. They still have some debt, about $175 million from its Medaphis days when they did a lot of acquisitions. But they have $41 million in cash and they have brought the receivables down by $10 million, year over year. They are showing nice increases in EBITDA [earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortization]. Last quarter, EBITDA was $12 million, versus $4 million in the same quarter a year ago. For the year it was $37 million against $22 million.

Q: Are they retaining customers?
A: Yes. They are close to 95% retention now.

Q: What else do you like?
A: So many stocks have moved up it's become a problem. I am trying to find things that are still relatively cheap. A stock that is kind of unusual for me to own is McAfee.com. McAfee provides Internet virus protection. Earnings one quarter came in a little light and there was an accounting issue, and the stock went from 45 to 11. I bought it at 12. It is not a particularly cheap stock and it is a little higher multiple than I usually pay. It's since risen to around 16. They should earn 30 cents a share this year and 45 cents next year. If it can grow close to 50%, and I am paying 30 times next year's earnings, I will buy it because I like it and I want some participation in the security area.

Q: What do you think of their accounting?
A: At the price I am buying it, I can live with the accounting -- it is already in the price of the stock.

Q: How about another short?
A: The furniture stocks have done well because they are a play on housing. Ethan Allen Interiors is a name I know fairly well. The company has missed more earnings estimates over the last 1½ years, but nobody cares because they say this is a play on housing. I have a small short on it. It is an overpriced stock. They keep missing numbers. But you know what? It hasn't worked. If you are a bull, there are two parts to this story. One is the consumer recovery and the assumption that if people buy houses, they buy furniture. The other part of the story is the company is rationalizing their manufacturing capacity and cutting costs. But I am concerned that the consumer at some point is going to give up and the valuation is just too high. The stock has been earning about $2 a share annually, and the stock price is at 40. Furniture companies have not traded at 21 times earnings over the long haul. To make money from here on the upside, you have to really believe we are in a new cycle.

Q: If the consumer backs off, can the economy still recover?
A: Capital expenditures are going to be limited. They are not going to be normal for a first year of recovery. And when you have an economy that is 70% consumption, the only area I can see covering for the consumer would be government spending. It makes some sense. The government isn't going to show a surplus this year, but with the Baby Boomers contributing to Social Security, the deficit is probably going to be fairly small. The ideal scenario would be for the government to spend more on the military. Those in charge should be trying to wean the consumer to some extent from spending and getting the consumer to slowly pay down some of that debt.

Q: Are you holding a lot of cash right now?
A: Yes, about 30% cash.

Q: So most of the portfolio is in gold and cash.
A: I haven't been heavily invested in the market since last spring. I believe we are in a bear market, a secular bear market, and my biggest weakness is trading the countertrend moves. The market doesn't care about valuations right now. Look at semiconductors. Take a stock like Maxim Integrated Products. The stock is at 18 times the last quarter's annualized revenues. The P/E is 70, 80, 90. That is nuts. But the market is looking on the margin and saying things are getting better because it appears the economy is recovering. One of the valuations I don't understand is Tiffany. It was at 38 recently. The company just guided down earnings expectations for this year. It trades at 30 times earnings. It is an expensive company. It is not in my value discipline to own those kinds of stocks. You are playing a greater-fool theory if you do.
On the other hand, you don't want to be short those types of stocks unless you know there is something fundamentally wrong at the company or the market is giving you a clue there is something fundamentally wrong. What do you do? That's why I have a lot of cash.

Q: Thanks, Paul.



To: Cactus Jack who wrote (48753)3/17/2002 7:14:29 PM
From: stockman_scott  Respond to of 65232
 
Grill Wall Street's Kingpins Next

BusinessWeek Commentary
MARCH 25, 2002
COVER STORY

Top brass needs to explain the banks' role in the Enron fiasco

After the stock market crashed in 1929, Congress hauled in Wall Street bosses to explain how bankers helped companies inflate earnings for a decade through complex structures. Congress scrutinized bank practices for years, then passed the Glass-Steagall Act, splitting commercial banks from brokerages. That checked the Street's temptation to monkey with clients' finances while flogging their stock.

Now Congress needs answers from Wall Street's chiefs again. Congress repealed Glass-Steagall in 1999, under pressure from bankers who swore they would manage such conflicts of interests. They would erect so-called Chinese Walls that forbade sharing information between those selling a company's stock and those arranging its financing.

But the Chinese walls are porous. Bankers ignore them when it's convenient: They take analysts on roadshows of investment-banking clients--their way of making it clear they don't want downgrades of those companies. The walls also provide cover for bankers, who let analysts push a client's stock even when they know the company is in trouble. That's why analysts recommended Enron to the end, though the bankers behind its complex financing knew it was on the skids.

Congress has made a show of resolve. In late March, the House Financial Services Committee is likely to grill top execs about conflicts of interest between analysts and bankers. The House Energy & Commerce Committee wrote to the heads of 10 investment banks demanding records on Enron by Mar. 20. Unlike the usual discreet inquiries, these letters are on the committee's Web site for the world to see.

Wall Street isn't sweating yet. Investment banks, a powerful lobbying force, expect to deflect this unwanted attention with reams of paper and testimony from lesser execs. And the Energy & Commerce Committee chairman, W.J. "Billy" Tauzin (R-La.), remains undecided on whether bank heads should testify.

So far, hearings have focused on Enron's management and its accountants. But the role of some of its investment bankers has been largely unexplored. Congress has to talk with top brass to get the complete picture. The bankers need to explain why they link analysts' pay to deals and invest in clients' off-balance sheet partnerships just to win future business.

Lower ranking bank officials won't be much help. Consider research analysts' testimony in February. True to form, they blamed their flawed "buy" recommendations on Enron's financial statements and pleaded ignorance to their employers' other ties to the company--those famous Chinese Walls again.

The analysts' lame defense highlights one thing that hasn't changed much since the 1930s: The securities industry's abysmal record of self-regulation. Over the past nine months, the industry has proposed a series of basic reforms such as stopping analysts from owning stocks in the companies they cover. Yet investors remain skeptical. A March survey of 300 investors by online market research firm InsightExpress LLC shows that roughly one in four trust their own judgment over any financial guidance. With good reason: Only 1.8% of analysts' recommendations are "sell" or "strong sell." Why? Mainly because they don't dare anger investment banking clients.

Lawmakers have a golden opportunity to show they're not in the pocket of big political donors. Securities and investment firms gave $91.7 million to candidates and parties in 2000, making them the third-highest givers after law firms and retired individuals, says the Center for Responsive Politics in Washington. Tauzin, among others, backed the 1995 Private Securities Litigation Reform Act, which shields companies and investment banks from lawsuits.

This is the moment to fix the damage. Don't just force banks to yank buy recommendations when they know better. Make them at least disclose the sweetheart deals behind investments in off-balance sheet partnerships. If that means legislating compliance, so be it.

"If they don't pass legislation after [Enron], there's no chance they'll ever pass legislation," says Charles R. Geisst, professor of finance at Manhattan College. Congress hauled in tobacco and auto executives on grave public issues. Why should the Masters of the Universe be any different?

By Emily Thornton
With Amy Borrus in Washington

Copyright 2000-2001, by The McGraw-Hill Companies Inc. All rights reserved.
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Used with permission of businessweek.com



To: Cactus Jack who wrote (48753)3/18/2002 9:06:07 AM
From: stockman_scott  Respond to of 65232
 
Andersen Misread Depths of the Government's Anger

By KURT EICHENWALD
The New York Times
March 18, 2002

Arthur Andersen's pleading phone calls to federal prosecutors started almost immediately. Soon after the accounting firm discovered that its Houston office had shredded thousands of documents related to its audits of the Enron Corporation (news/quote), its lawyers were lobbying the government for a speedy resolution of the resulting investigation.

Andersen was at a crossroads because of the Enron case, the lawyers explained, and its survival was at stake. The government must act quickly so Andersen could move on.

But things did not work out the way the Andersen lawyers had hoped.

Last week, Andersen became the first major accounting firm ever charged with a felony. The firm, and its lawyers, misread the depths of the government's anger with Andersen in the wake of its flawed audits of other major clients. Earnings restatements by those clients have caused their stock prices to tumble, costing investors tens, if not hundreds, of millions of dollars.

In such cases, Andersen paid a fine and moved on. This time, law enforcement officials wanted to crack down hard.

The prosecutors' zeal for going after Enron appears to be almost matched by their fury at Andersen. In their view, Andersen has minimized the significance of its transgressions — including one from another case that left the firm under an injunction against future misdeeds at the very time the Enron documents were destroyed.

"Obviously," said one person involved in the case, "the question finally came down to, `How many times do investors have to lose millions of dollars because they relied on Andersen before somebody finally charges them with a crime?' "

Now both sides find themselves in positions that neither expected, positions involving dangerous gambles. How did Andersen so badly misread the gravity of the situation? Why did the government decide to risk so much by charging the entire firm for actions that, arguably, were undertaken by a handful of employees, most of them in Houston?

Andersen saw the case as limited to the Enron document destruction, with its past conduct not at issue. It considered the evidence weak and the prosecutors' interpretation of the law wrong. Faced with the prospect that a guilty plea would put it out of business, the firm chose a criminal trial, the first major corporation to do so in recent years.

Andersen has seen the case transformed from a business problem to a crisis of historic proportions. The government now faces an angry corporate adversary rumbling with demands for a rapid trial, which could hinder the prosecutors' ability to develop essential evidence.

For the government, the outcome will determine the future of its investigation into the collapse of Enron, the energy giant that investigators say used a series of partnerships to make vast overstatements of its profits for years. The prosecutors' decision to bring the first indictment in the Enron case against Andersen signals an aggressive strategy, stepping up the pressure on possible witnesses to cut deals.

The standoff with Andersen followed months of behind-the-scenes battles and decisions that inexorably set both sides on the path toward an all-out legal war.

Of particular importance in this case was a series of actions and decisions reached years ago, in another accounting scandal involving an Andersen client named Waste Management (news/quote).

Forced into a settlement in that case with the Securities and Exchange Commission because of evidence culled from its own files, Andersen adopted a perfectly legal policy of shredding most records as they became unnecessary.

Then, in a stunning blunder meant to save money, it cut back on the staff responsible for actually destroying the records — leaving huge piles of Enron documents sitting in Andersen offices around the world as Enron hobbled toward collapse.

"It's pretty hard to overstate the importance of the Waste Management case in all of this," one person involved in the case said of the Andersen indictment. "It's at the center of everything that's happened."

In the end, prosecutors resolved that Andersen should pay a price for its past problems. Its history proved to be the critical factor in their decision to indict the firm — even if the charge amounted to a death sentence.

Details of the events and discussions that led to the Andersen indictment come from internal company documents, lawyers' letters, court records, filings with the S.E.C., the depositions of a number of principals and interviews with people involved in the case.

A Policy Begins

In the Waste Management matter, it was the documents, regulators said, that ultimately made the case against Andersen. If the firm's partners had simply disposed of the records, the fraud case against Andersen might never have been brought.

The securities commission's investigation into accounting fraud at Waste Management began in 1998, after the company announced that four years of its pretax profit reports had been inflated by $1.4 billion. At the time, it was the largest earnings restatement in American history.

Andersen had worked for Waste Management for decades. The Waste Management problems became evident, according to a later S.E.C. complaint. For each year in question, Andersen quantified the misstatements and identified other accounting problems. The auditors discussed the improper accounting among themselves and with their superiors and devised "action plans" for forcing Waste Management to comply with accepted accounting practices. But each year, Waste Management refused, and Andersen signed off on its misleading filings. After the restatements were announced, the commission demanded Andersen's internal records, which proved that Andersen knew of the problems.

In 2000, as the S.E.C. pored through Andersen's documents, the firm assigned Richard Kutsenda, a partner, to review its policies on document retention. The S.E.C. later said that Mr. Kutsenda had engaged in "highly unreasonable conduct" in the Waste Management case and sanctioned him.

The new rules were sent via e-mail to every Andersen employee that May. They required employees to preserve audit work in a central file, while related documents — including e-mail, notes and drafts — were to be destroyed as soon as possible. The problems created by the Waste Management records were never to be repeated.

Then early last year, to save costs, Andersen dismissed some employees who handled the newly required shredding, and paper began stacking up. By June, accountants handling Enron in Houston were virtually buried in documents that, under the policy, should have been shredded long before. That same month, on June 19, Andersen finally settled with the securities commission in the Waste Management case. It paid a fine and accepted a judgment that imposed an injunction forbidding the firm from future wrongdoing. Gary B. Goolsby, the partner in charge of global risk management, signed the agreement. He worked in Andersen's Houston office.

Awkward Records

The pile of old memorandums about Enron arrived at Andersen's Chicago headquarters from the Houston office in mid- September. A group of the firm's top audit specialists, who wanted to review their old work, pored through the papers and were aghast: The memorandums indicated — incorrectly, in the specialists' eyes — that they had approved certain Enron accounting decisions that had since proved to be horribly wrong.

By then, Andersen was seeing the first signs of the accounting scandal about to envelop Enron.

For years, Enron had been using a collection of partnerships to move debt off its books and improve earnings. But beginning in August, the accountants recognized mistakes that led Enron to overstate its shareholders equity by $1.2 billion.

Now these memorandums from Houston seemed to say that Andersen's Chicago office had approved the mistakes. After Waste Management, that was a disaster: a bunch of inaccurate memorandums might be used to trace the blunders once again back to Chicago. The two sets of auditors debated in almost daily conference calls how to correct the memos.

They were joined by Nancy Temple, a lawyer at the firm, who reminded everyone about Andersen's policy on destroying unnecessary records. In another discussion, Mr. Goolsby made the same point.

Urged to comply with the document destruction policy, senior auditors in Chicago began deleting old e-mail related to Enron by the second week of October.

In Houston on Oct. 10, Michael C. Odom, Andersen's practice director there, stood in a conference room to remind his accountants about the importance of destroying documents. According to an investigation by Andersen's lawyers, Mr. Odom explained that in past lawsuits, Andersen had been forced to produce documents that should not have been retained.

"If documents are destroyed and litigation is filed the next day, that's great," Mr. Odom told the crowd. "We've followed our own policy, and whatever there was that might have been of interest to somebody is gone and irretrievable."

The message had its effect. Andersen personnel headed back to their desks, and some employees began deleting an unusually large number of e-mail messages, computer records show. The government said in its indictment that the document destruction that day had been the first attempt to obstruct justice.

In that same week, on Oct. 12, Ms. Temple sent an e-mail message to the Enron team suggesting changes to a draft memorandum about the problems with the Raptor partnership. Forty minutes later, she sent a second e-mail message to Mr. Odom, again nudging him about Andersen's rules on destroying documents.

"It might be useful to consider reminding the engagement team of our documentation and retention policy," she wrote, adding that it would "be helpful to make sure that we have complied with the policy."

Mr. Odom forwarded the e-mail message to David Duncan, head of the Enron team. Mr. Duncan had little time to do anything about it.

In that week, the Enron situation exploded. On Oct. 15, the company announced that it was deducting $1 billion from its third- quarter earnings, producing its first quarterly loss in more than four years. Millions of dollars of those losses were soon attributed to Enron's dealings with a group of partnerships controlled by its chief financial officer, Andrew S. Fastow.

Over in Fort Worth, the regulators in the regional office of the S.E.C. watched the developments with amazement. Investigators sent Enron a letter, asking for documents to aid a preliminary inquiry.

Andersen auditors learned of the commission's inquiry that same week. But on Oct. 22, the news became worse.

Mr. Duncan and another auditor heard from Enron officials that a further letter from the commission was imminent, this time requesting accounting information.

The shredding at Andersen began in earnest the next morning.

Worry About Litigation

David Duncan stepped out of his 37th- floor office at Three Allen Center to ask his executive assistant, Shannon Adlong, for a favor. The Enron team needed to attend a meeting at 1:30. Could she let everyone know about it?

Ms. Adlong agreed, sending e-mail notes, labeled "Urgent," to partners around the office.

The accountants heard the same message repeatedly that day: Get the files into compliance with Andersen's document retention policy. Notes taken at the meetings show that the S.E.C. inquiry was cited.

Documents arrived in the shredding room in scores of trunks and boxes. The machines were relatively small so secretaries waited in a long line.

Frustrated, they hired a courier and started shipping trunks and boxes to Andersen's main Houston office, about six blocks away. Between 20 and 30 trunks of documents were shipped over and stacked inside the shredding room and out in the hallway.

The sudden increase in the demand for shredding attracted attention there. Mike Luna, a facilities manager at Andersen, bumped into Sharon Thibault, who reviewed documents before they were shredded, that week. She was going through a large number of boxes from the Enron team, she said. Days later, the two met again and discussed all the news about Enron's troubles. "Well, maybe that's why they sent over some shredding," Mr. Luna, in a deposition, recalled Ms. Thibault as saying. "Maybe they are cleaning up the office."

In other offices, the same cleanup was under way. On Oct. 23, Houston partners called the head of the London office. Shortly afterward, instructions went out in London to destroy unnecessary documents.

The same message was sent by voice mail to a manager in the Portland office, which had also done work on Enron. The next day, the manager sent e-mail to Houston to let the partners there know that he had destroyed his Enron records.

By Oct. 26, shredding in Houston was brisk. In three days, 26 trunks of documents, as well as 24 boxes, were shredded — compared with less than one trunk's worth being shredded in each of the prior three weeks. Simultaneously, there was a threefold increase in the volume of e-mail deletions.

The shredding finally ended on Nov. 9, when Mr. Duncan was notified that Andersen had received an S.E.C. subpoena. Mr. Duncan told his secretary to let everyone know. She sent out an e-mail notice quickly, telling employees to stop the shredding.

In the weeks that followed, Enron spiraled into bankruptcy, and prosecutors opened a criminal inquiry. By that time, Andersen officials in Chicago had learned of the full scope of what had happened in Houston during the fall, and they began an internal inquiry.

When Ms. Adlong spoke with Mr. Duncan before his Jan. 15 dismissal, he said he wished that he had never received the Oct. 12 e-mail message about complying with the document policy. Without it, he said, nothing would have happened.

Andersen disclosed the document destruction on Jan. 10. Mr. Luna, the facilities manager, sought out D. Stephen Goddard Jr., the managing partner in Houston, to recount everything he had heard back in October. Mr. Goddard listened, saying nothing until Mr. Luna finished.

`I don't know," Mr. Goddard finally said, seeming to answer a question that had not been asked.

Then he left the room.

Shredding in Earnest

At the Justice Department, the pressure to show quick results in the Enron case started in January, soon after the appointment of a special task force. Senior officials and even the director of the Federal Bureau of Investigation were pushing. In most complex corporate fraud investigations, involving millions of documents, such a demand would be impossible to meet. But word of the possible obstruction of justice at Andersen gave prosecutors a manageable case.

With demands from Andersen to resolve the matter soon, everything moved quickly. A Houston grand jury was empaneled, with streamlined procedures. Instead of hearing from dozens of witnesses, the grand jury would get much of the detail from F.B.I. agents.

In February, prosecutors met with Andersen's lawyers and executives. Repeatedly, Andersen portrayed the events as limited, caused by a handful of Houston executives acting without Chicago's knowledge. The Andersen lawyers disputed that any crimes had occurred, but if prosecutors disagreed, they felt confident that only individuals faced indictment.

But Andersen failed to see that the task force was turning against it, becoming convinced that the firm was a recidivist. Just a quick background check had uncovered recent accounting frauds at a number of Andersen clients, including Colonial Realty in Connecticut, the Sunbeam Corporation (news/quote) and even a nonprofit organization, the Baptist Foundation of Arizona. In those cases, investors and others who believed records certified by Andersen lost tens if not hundreds of millions of dollars. In each case, regulators and law enforcement officials had developed evidence that Andersen was, in part, responsible for the financial disasters.

Capping it all off was Waste Management. There, Andersen had signed an agreement to avoid wrongdoing. Then came the document destruction.

As members of the Enron team discussed it, they decided that, given Andersen's record, they had no choice but to indict. If they gave it a pass, future injunctions in S.E.C. cases would be meaningless.

In early March, Andersen lawyers from Davis, Polk & Wardwell were flabbergasted to hear from prosecutors that the firm faced indictment in as little as a week. The lawyers argued that the case had no merit, and there was no rational reason to charge the firm for the actions of a few. ,But prosecutors kept returning to Andersen's history, and the Waste Management case.

Late that week, the lawyers from Davis, Polk & Wardwell stepped aside in the negotiations, replaced by a team from Mayer, Brown, Rowe & Maw. The new lawyers wanted more time, implying that the deadline needed to be stretched; incredulous, the prosecutors refused.

The prosecutors pushed Andersen to plead guilty. If the firm did not agree to do so by 9 a.m. on March 14, the charges, already filed and under seal, would be opened. As far as Andersen's lawyers were concerned, that deal carried the death penalty as punishment. Under securities rules, Andersen would then no longer be able to represent public companies in America.

Andersen pushed for the government's assurance of a waiver of that rule, but did not receive a satisfactory answer. Angered, its lawyers asked Larry Thompson, the deputy attorney general, to intervene. Mr. Thompson refused, sending the lawyers back to Michael Chertoff, the chief of the criminal division.

"The demand for a plea left us in a Catch- 22 position," one member of the legal team said. `Without an assurance of a waiver, we were committing suicide. Getting indicted had a lower risk."

Sometime after 7 on the evening of March 13 — a little more than 12 hours before the deadline ran out — Richard J. Favretto, a lawyer for Andersen, telephoned the task force chief with news that there would be no plea. If the government wanted a conviction, it would have to come at trial.

The next afternoon, after the close of the financial markets, Mr. Thompson appeared with Mr. Chertoff and other members of the Enron team to announce the indictment. Within minutes, Andersen fired back, accusing the prosecutors of `a gross abuse of government power."

The first hearing of a case that was supposed to have been resolved quickly will take place in a Houston courtroom on Wednesday. Absent a resolution, one side stands to lose far more than a verdict.

nytimes.com



To: Cactus Jack who wrote (48753)3/18/2002 9:56:16 PM
From: stockman_scott  Respond to of 65232
 
SEC Chairman Pitt Defends His Reform Agenda

businessweek.com



To: Cactus Jack who wrote (48753)3/19/2002 2:34:09 PM
From: stockman_scott  Respond to of 65232
 
How a Titan Came Undone

Enron's collapse stunned the world. But it was inevitable from Day 1. Here's why

BY JULIAN E. BARNES, MEGAN BARNETT, AND CHRISTOPHER H. SCHMITT
USNews.com
Money & Business 3/18/02

High above the Atlantic, cruising stateside in his sleek Falcon jet, Ken Lay had reason to be pleased. It was October 1987, and his two-year-old company was looking to sell a chunk of its oil and gas unit to raise cash to pay off a pile of debt. The Enron CEO had been to England, Scotland, and Switzerland to pitch investors there on buying a piece of the action, and the roadshow had gone well. The corporate jet swooped into Gander, Newfoundland, to refuel. There, Lay's mood soon darkened. An aide told him that a brewing scandal–speculative activity in the company's New York crude-oil trading operation–was about to explode. "You could just see the blood drain out of his face," recalls an executive on the trip. "It was catastrophic." Lay peeled off and headed to New York for damage control. The episode would ultimately cost Enron up to $150 million and threaten its very existence.

The crisis would prove prophetic. To most people, Enron's implosion late last year was sudden and startling, accompanied by revelations that executives used secret partnerships to hide huge debt, wildly inflate profits, and line their pockets. But a closer look shows that the collapse of the nation's seventh-largest company was virtually preordained. Over the years, Enron made a steady series of moves–financial, ethical, and cultural–toward what would become its abyss, so that when failure finally came, the last few strides weren't long ones. Before there were partnerships like Raptor and Chewco, there were warnings about cooking the books. Before that, an "old economy" pipeline psychology had yielded to a best-and-brightest "new economy" ethic, where the fact of doing deals came to rival whatever the deal itself might be. At the start, just as at the end, was an all-consuming obsession with debt. Enron didn't lurch into crisis. It began a march there in 1985, on the very day it was born.

As business scandals go, Enron doesn't top the list. The savings and loan collapse in the 1980s cost taxpayers about three times the $67 billion that Enron torpedoed in investor wealth. The Enron debacle doesn't mean capitalism is broken. Nor does it fully discredit a devil-take-the-hindmost management style. Still, Enron stands as the signature scandal of the new economy, reinforcing the notion that, for all the progress made since the robber barons of the late 1800s, fair and open markets remain more an ideal than a reality.

Seen in one light, Enron is about a band of pretty smart people who thought they had found a way to defy the laws of business physics and who created a culture that couldn't recognize that those laws were, in fact, immutable. The courts will decide whether any of those people broke the law. But for now, the only crime that is certain to have been committed is that of hubris.

Past as prologue
In Texas horse country, when there's no hitching post handy, a rider hobbles his horse, tying its legs, so it can't move. When Enron was created, through Omaha-based InterNorth Inc.'s takeover of Houston Natural Gas Corp., the company hobbled itself. As told by Enron executives afterward, the $2.3 billion deal was carefully crafted to exploit a shifting energy landscape. That may be. But the Enron that crashed and burned may be more the result of a huge misunderstanding–or at least a shotgun wedding. Minneapolis corporate raider Irwin Jacobs had taken a big position in InterNorth, and the company was panicked that Jacobs was moving to take it over. Scrambling for a more suitable partner, InterNorth approached Lay, the Missouri-bred son of a Baptist preacher who cast himself as a benevolent, civic-minded leader. There was another side to the soft-spoken executive, however. Just a year after Enron was created, he was the fifth-highest-paid CEO in America, a man who had no trouble steering his employees to his sister's travel agency and, according to an executive who fielded complaints, browbeat Enron suppliers into doing the same. Near the end, Lay would emphatically encourage nervous employees to buy more Enron stock even as he was dumping $20 million of his own shares.

When Lay ran Houston Natural Gas, it was common practice for companies to fend off would-be raiders like Jacobs by piling on debt to make themselves unattractive. Except in this case, Jacobs says, he had no intention of making an InterNorth play. On the contrary, he wanted someone else to swallow the company for a premium, while he would make a tidy little profit on his investment. "I never had any intention of taking it over," Jacobs says. "People are reaching for the stars if they believe that." InterNorth paid a huge premium for Houston Natural Gas, and today, it's hard to understate the importance of the $5 billion in debt that resulted. With debt payments draining as much as $50 million a month from the company, Enron quickly sold off billions' worth of assets, beginning its Icarus-like flight toward the asset-light firm that immolated itself last year. And because the debt load was so oppressive, it forced the company into financing projects with borrowings kept off the balance sheet it presented to Wall Street and the world.

Jacobs was also the spur for an early shareholder controversy. After the takeover, Jacobs's InterNorth shares meant he held stock in the new Enron. That made Enron executives so queasy they decided to pay him $240 million in "greenmail"–a premium over a stock's current value–to get him to go away. Shareholders were outraged. But there was another twist. The main source of funds for the deal was a raid on $230 million in "excess" worker retirement funds–money invested for worker retirements but above federal minimums. Thus, Enron used worker pension money to prop up the company, years before it did the same thing another way.

Just as the merger would presage Enron's obsession with debt, the oil-trading scandal that Lay confronted when his jet touched down in Newfoundland foretold some of the more devastating consequences of the company's seeming inability to deal with trouble. Enron executives have been reluctant to discuss the episode. But documents unearthed in a little-noticed lawsuit show that Enron first learned of problems in January 1987, when a New York bank tipped off the company that employees of its oil unit had opened an account that was showing unusual activity, including multimillion-dollar payments to an Enron trader.

Under questioning, oil traders said that Enron executives had asked them to manipulate earnings by moving revenue from one year to another. Enron investigators had also learned that bank statements were doctored and that the account was opened with forged documents. "I was waiting for Lay to fire them on the spot," says one participant in a meeting. To the contrary, Enron executives expressed faith in the head of the trading unit, Louis Borget. "I have complete confidence in your business judgment . . . and personal integrity," Enron's then President John "Mick" Seidl wrote to Borget. "Please keep making us millions." Two months later, at a meeting of Enron's audit committee, Lay weighed in. "I've decided we're not going to discharge the people involved in this, because the company needs those earnings," Lay said, according to two participants in the meeting.

Instead, internal investigators demanded heightened controls. But as with the partnerships a decade later, the controls were never put in place. Unchecked oil trading opened up a terrifying exposure of at least 80 million barrels and may have cost Enron up to $150 million. The fraud went beyond trading, because the bank account discovered earlier was actually part of a scam to inflate profits and divert funds to Borget and trader Thomas Mastroeni. In 1990, the pair pleaded guilty to defrauding Enron. And it turns out that Enron's auditing firm, Arthur Andersen, had warned in 1984 that the oil trading needed more oversight. The risk "could exceed the levels senior management is willing to assume," Andersen said. Enron portrayed itself as a victim of rogue trading, but in truth, it had plenty of notice before the worst damage was done.

Enter the whiz kids
In September 2000, Enron dissolved, with no fanfare, a subsidiary called the Gas Bank that it had created 11 years before. While it had been years since any business had passed through the Gas Bank, its creation represented a critical juncture in Enron history. For one thing, it would prompt Jeff Skilling to join the company. More important, the Gas Bank paved the way for Enron to adopt unusually aggressive accounting practices and develop a series of innovations that transformed its culture from one of Texas collegiality to cutthroat trader.

Gerald Bennett, the man in charge of Enron's intrastate pipelines in 1989, didn't have much use for management consultants. So when a McKinsey & Co. consultant named Skilling came to see him, the pipeline man had something different in mind. Enron's problem was that for a fluid market for natural gas, the industry needed long-term supply contracts. But because prices were volatile, contracts were typically available only for 30-day spot deals. Producers were unwilling to commit to the long term, always believing the price could go up.

Enron needed to find a way to bridge this gap between what the producers and big gas users wanted. Bennett and Skilling discussed ways to pool lots of gas-supply contracts in a bank, then sell long-term deals to utilities. Bennett says the Gas Bank was his idea, but it was Skilling who got the credit. Not long after the Gas Bank fired up, Richard Kinder, Enron's president, asked Skilling to join the company to run the new project. Skilling was torn. He had just been made a director of McKinsey, one of the youngest ever. But he was tired of being only an adviser. Skilling negotiated hard, demanding that Kinder give him power. The final talks, when Enron set its future course, were June 11, 1990. Kinder was in his office; Skilling was at the hospital, where his wife had just given birth to their son. In August, Skilling joined Enron full time and almost immediately made a name for himself as an arrogant jerk. He had little patience for those he considered less gifted than himself, but he reserved his venom, associates say, for those who disagreed with him. In Skilling's world, dissenters weren't just mistaken; they were liars. And Skilling told them so.

The art of the deal
In the late 1980s, the business of independent oil and gas production was intensely competitive, and the boom-and-bust energy cycle weeded out all but the pluckiest entrepreneurs. But big companies like Enron were much more forgiving, places where the promise of entrepreneurial riches was traded away for stability. There was a modicum of teamwork, and people worked hard–but not too hard. Back-office workers and secretaries left at 5 p.m., and many executives packed up soon after. The new whiz kids thought Enron was soft. A more ruthless atmosphere, they thought, would make the company more money. So Skilling set about turning the place upside down.

The Gas Bank led the way. Because it called for Enron to write long-term contracts, the company could start accounting for those contracts differently. Traditional accounting would book revenue from a long-term contract when it came in. But Skilling wanted Enron to book all anticipated revenue immediately. The practice is known as mark-to-market–or, more colloquially, counting your chickens before they hatch. Whatever the term, it was the third time in five years that Enron had significantly changed its accounting.

Tallying all expected profits immediately would mean a huge earnings kick for a company obsessed with debt. But it would also put Enron on a treadmill: To keep growing, it would have to book bigger and bigger deals every quarter. The result, in hindsight, was predictable: a shift from developing economically sound partnerships to doing deals at all costs. "The focus wasn't on maintaining relationships and serving customers," says a former Enron official. "The quality of the deals deteriorated." The turning point, some say, was a deal involving a British power facility that earned Enron brass big bonuses. Yet, says one executive, the deal was "a disaster" that forced Enron to cough up $400 million when gas prices moved the wrong way.

The new accounting made workers eligible for fatter payoffs. Enron employees once were urged to work together on deals. But the new arrangements created an incentive to cut out colleagues, because bringing them in meant carving more slices in the bonus pie. "It was a very intense and urgent form of accounting," says Dan Ryser, a former employee who worked with Skilling. "The culture became less team oriented and more individual. It would have been OK if everyone played fair. But it didn't work out that way."

Ryser was a pipeline man from InterNorth, but he shared his boss's vision. Or at least he thought he did. One Friday afternoon, making small talk in Skilling's office, Ryser said he had to leave early to coach his kids in a soccer tournament. "This is one thing I do to get my mind off work," Ryser said to Skilling. "What do you do to take your mind off the business?" Replied Skilling: "I never do anything to get my mind off the business." A few weeks later, Ryser found himself back in Skilling's office, being told he wasn't pushing his people hard enough. The marketplace didn't like the Enron deals, Ryser countered. Nonsense, Skilling said; he transferred Ryser back to the pipeline division.

Fastow to the rescue
The truth was that Ryser was right. The initial Gas Bank plan hadn't persuaded gas producers to sell Enron their reserves. To entice the producers, the company needed to offer them money upfront for gas that would be delivered later. But where to get the cash?

Enter Andy Fastow. The finance whiz came to Enron from Continental Bank in Chicago, at the behest of his wife, who was from a prominent Houston family. Fastow would chat with employees about art exhibits and his favorite jogging routes. But he also came to be seen as a petty tyrant, a bully who demanded that deals be done to improve short-term profits even at the expense of long-term benefits. Soon after he arrived, Fastow began impressing Skilling's deputies with his ability to concoct sophisticated financial instruments. In 1991, to revitalize the Gas Bank, Fastow began creating a number of partnerships. The first series was called Cactus. (Like that of the first Gas Bank plan, the origin of Cactus is controversial: New York businessman Bernard Glatzer, who sued Enron over the issue, claims Enron took the idea from him.)

The Cactus ventures eventually took in money from banks and gave it to energy producers in return for a portion of their existing gas reserves. That gave the producers money upfront and Enron gas over time. But since Cactus owned the reserves in the ground even if the energy producers went bust, Enron would still have the gas. The term of art here is "special purpose vehicles." They served two ends: moving debt from Enron's books to the partnerships and transferring risk from Enron to the banks that invested in them. Eventually, Enron would grow addicted to these arrangements because they hid debt. But Enron let the risk-shifting feature of the partnerships lapse. Although they were presented to the board as a way to relieve Enron of risk, later partnership deals were backed by promises of Enron stock. That meant that, if something went wrong, Enron would be left holding the bag.

Backstopping the partnership deals with Enron stock had a subtle, corrosive effect. When Enron wasn't guaranteeing specific returns, outside partners needed to look hard at the quality of the venture. With the new Enron guarantees, quality became less important, so there was less outside scrutiny. "It sort of took away that discipline," says Robert M. Chiste, a former Enron executive. Later, losses on bad projects buried in partnerships would erase hundreds of millions in profits.

Rank and yank
As the partnerships proliferated, Skilling found that he needed more financial experts. He began recruiting talent from elite colleges and business schools, luring graduates with $20,000 signing bonuses and annual bonuses of up to 100 percent. And he began to hire more traders, people who could deal in natural gas and a variety of other commodities.

Skilling also inspired the paradox of making Enron more relaxed yet more competitive. He adopted an all-casual dress code, but the jeans and tennis shoes couldn't relieve the tension that hid underneath. Employees started staying later, first until 6 p.m., then 11 p.m., even into the next morning. Part of the pressure resulted from Skilling's new employee-evaluation policy. Workers called it "rank and yank." Employees were evaluated in groups, with each rated on a scale of 1 to 5. The goal was to remove the bottom 20 percent of each group every year.

At first, some thought the program was a good way to cull deadwood. One manager posted signs with a red circle and slash over a happy face, telling her employees that Enron was about working hard, not being happy. But many later chafed under the system, seeing the reviews as a tool for managers to reward loyalists and punish dissenters. "What a cutthroat system," says J. C. Nickens, a Houston attorney representing about a dozen Enron officers. "If you were a 5, you were on your way out; if you were a 1, you got the biggest bonus." The system encouraged a "yes" culture, in which employees were reluctant to question their bosses–a fear that many would later come to regret.

Around the mid-1990s, Enron began pushing the envelope in other ways. Fixated on finding new sources of cash, Enron looked to its natural-gas storage business. Long-term contracts called for a flow of payments from customers to Enron over time. Enron used a formula to calculate the current value of future payments. Then it used that shimmery number as collateral to borrow money. Risky perhaps, but Enron made it even more so by borrowing more than it judged the contracts to be worth. It also appeared that, while borrowing against the value of the contracts, Enron was counting it as income. "There was concern that Enron was cooking the books," says energy consultant Jim Harrington.

Suspicion began to spread. In late 1994, James Alexander became an executive in Enron's Global Power & Pipelines affiliate. He soon heard rumblings about shaky accounting involving unsuccessful bids for international projects. Around May 1995, he warned Lay. "The response was in a medicinal calm voice, 'Gee, I guess I'll have to talk with Rich Kinder about that,' " says Alexander, who quit only months later. "The only way you can keep accounting games going," he says, "is to make them bigger and bigger."

For lots of reasons, the first player into a new energy market can score hugely. But over time, competitors catch on, and profit margins shrink. So Skilling began looking for new pastures. In 1996, he set his sights on electricity. Enron would do for power, he promised, what it had done for natural gas.

Out with the old
The push into electricity only added to the pressures percolating inside Enron. Earlier in 1996, Lay predicted that Enron's profits would double by 2000. He instituted a stock-option plan that promised to double employee salaries after eight years. Fresh off a $2.1 billion takeover of Portland General Corp., an electric utility, Lay said his goal was nothing less than to make Enron the "world's greatest energy company."

No executive in the stable of senior managers was more prepared to help Lay reach that lofty goal than Skilling, then head of the company's finance and trading unit. But there was an obstacle to Skilling's ambition: president and chief operating officer Kinder. A 16-year company veteran, Kinder was an "asset guy," more adept at running Enron's older businesses than at playing a visionary role in the company's new endeavors. Kinder stirred strong passions at Enron; those who felt strongly about him typically felt the opposite of Skilling. Some mistrusted him. One former executive says he was "great at finding ways to meet earnings estimates" and "willing to take shortcuts." Others say he never would have let Enron take the path it did. "With Kinder, you always had to show him the money," says another former executive. "You had to show him strong project economics or he wouldn't do the deal."

Kinder's departure from Enron, in December 1996, was pivotal. The promotion of Skilling as his replacement, says one employee, "was really the turning point, when the image of the asset as albatross was created." Another former executive says Kinder's departure was Enron's biggest mistake. "He held a lid on all the egoism," he says. Skilling, by contrast, did not seek to control his lieutenants so closely.

May the force be with you
Above Jeremy Blachman's desk at Enron sits a fuzzy Chewbacca head a foot and a half high, a reminder that the past can indeed come back to haunt. The bust was a "deal toy"–a keepsake to mark a battle over a partnership called Chewco that Enron entered into in late 1997. Named for the woolly Star Wars character, Chewco is believed to have been the first of a number of partnerships in which Enron executives schemed to improperly inflate earnings and hide debt. Enron created Chewco to buy out its partner in another venture called JEDI, which was legally kept off the books. For JEDI to remain off the balance sheet, however, Chewco had to meet certain accounting requirements. But Enron skirted the already weak rules required to keep Chewco off its books. Chewco was responsible for overstating Enron's profits by $405 million and understating debt of $2.6 billion. Lay says he didn't know about Chewco. But within the company, Chewco's existence was widely known. Frank Karbarz, a former manager on Enron's credit desk, says: "People knew, but no one had the time to sit there and follow the trail to find out what was really there."

Because Enron needed to close the deal by year's end, Chewco was a rush job. Enron's executive committee presented the Chewco proposal to the board of directors–including Lay–on November 5. But Fastow left out a few key details. He failed to mention that there was virtually no outside equity in Chewco, which he maintained was not affiliated with Enron. Nor did he reveal that one of his protégés, Michael Kopper, would manage the partnership. The board approved the deal. Enron's law firm, Vinson & Elkins, quickly prepared the requisite documents. Arthur Andersen, which claims that Enron withheld critical information, billed the company $80,000 for its review of the transaction. It was the beginning of the end. When it collapsed, Enron's off-balance-sheet financing stood at an estimated $17 billion.

Living large
1998, Lay & Co. had convinced Houston, its employees, and Wall Street that Enron was in a class by itself. At a two-week orientation for new recruits, top executives took turns pumping their respective divisions, trying to woo the best and brightest. By the end of the two weeks, Enron's newest elite had practically overdosed on confidence. "Every day, I would walk into work thinking, 'Where can I add value today?' " recalls Karbarz. "This was a cosmopolitan, global company with unlimited possibilities." Executives stoked the fire. "These were privileged, smart, cocky kids, and we nurtured them," says one former Enron executive. "We put them on pedestals so they would develop a sense of superiority."

Enron opened the faucet on expenses. After one deal was closed, six analysts were flown to Telluride, Colo., for a weekend of skiing, with gifts of pricey parkas, gloves, massages, and facials. Senior executive Lou Pai signed off on the use of a corporate jet for his assistant and a dozen of her friends to fly to Jamaica for a week, according to a former executive assistant. Salespeople in the pulp and paper business took clients to the Texas Motor Speedway in Fort Worth, where they wheeled around in Ferraris, for a genuine, hands-on Grand Prix experience. Energy Services teams returning from closing deals strolled down a red carpet rolled out in an airplane hangar, to be handed $300 bottles of Cristal champagne. Administrative assistants ordered $300 planters for their cubicles and expensed everything from lunches with friends to mileage to the company's extravagant Christmas party.

As Enron pushed out in new directions–wind power, water, high-speed Internet, paper, metals, data storage, advertising–it became a different company almost every quarter. Entrepreneurship was encouraged; innovation was the mantra. Mike Horning, a former Enron manager, remembers the day he sat down at the round table in Skilling's office and pitched him an idea to create a market in advertising contracts. Armed with a half-dozen PowerPoint slides, he ticked off statistics showing why the media market was ripe for Enron. Skilling was thrilled. In just 20 minutes, a whole new operation, Enron Media Services, was born.

The quarter-by-quarter scramble to post ever better numbers became all consuming. "You lived an entire life in a 90-day cycle," says Phyllis Anzalone, a former director of Enron Energy Services. Enron traders, meanwhile, were encouraged to use "prudence reserves," to essentially put aside some revenue until another quarter when it might be needed. Long-term energy contracts were evaluated using an adjustable curve to forecast energy prices. When a quarter looked tight, analysts were told to simply adjust the curve in Enron's favor.

As if the music weren't playing fast enough, Enron found another way to quicken the pace. As is common in corporate America, Enron executives got stock options, which they were able to cash in over time. But Enron added a sweetener: If profits and the stock price went up enough, the schedule for those options would be sharply accelerated. The plan gave executives even more incentive to push the envelope. "It's just another case," says Glenn Matthys, an Enron manager who was laid off after the collapse, "of people getting too damn greedy."

The greatest pressures probably were in Fastow's finance group, although Chewco's apparent success lifted some of the weight. In 1999, Fastow constructed two partnerships called LJM Cayman and LJM2 that readily passed through the board, the lawyers, and the accountants. They were followed by four more, known as the Raptors. "You do it once, it works, and you do it again," says Anzalone. "It doesn't take long for the lines to blur between what's legal and what's not."

And employees knew it. One analyst in Fastow's global finance group recalls his epiphany, while on a recruiting trip for the company. "Students would ask me what I was doing at Enron, and when it came down to it, I was removing numbers from our balance sheet and inflating earnings," he says. "Personally, I'm extremely disappointed in what I did."

Today, after perhaps the most spectacular failure in American business history, "disappointment" doesn't even begin to describe the devastating sense of betrayal by investors who lost billions of dollars and employees who lost jobs and most or all of their savings. It is a fitting irony that just as Enron's earliest days foreshadowed its collapse, the recovery effort will now attempt a full-circle return to the company's roots. After years of furiously unloading assets and building intellectual and informational capital, the Enron of the future–if there is indeed such a thing–will be a steady, slow-growing, asset-laden energy company. "Our reorganized business will be dedicated primarily to the movement of natural gas and the generation of electricity," said Jeff McMahon, president and chief operating officer. Interim CEO Stephen Cooper hopes a reorganization plan will be in place sometime in the next few months. In a logical attempt to shake off the polluted image of Enron, the company will be renamed. Most, if not all, of the board members will be replaced. Its unoccupied downtown skyscraper is on the block for $200 million, and Cooper plans to lease the other and move his demoralized army somewhere else.

If Enron emerges from its bankruptcy proceedings as the energy company it was back in 1985, it may not be so far-fetched. After all, U2 just won a Grammy, George Bush is in the White House, and E. T. is coming to the big screen. If the Eighties are back in Hollywood and Washington, there's no telling what could happen in Houston.