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To: Eric L who wrote (18983)3/17/2002 8:02:46 PM
From: Eric L  Respond to of 34857
 
re: "The Buck" on Mobile Java

... totally dried out now.

>> Mobile Java- The Prospects

Simon Buckingham
Mobile Streams
16 March 2002

Alongside MMS and Location Services, the third hot topic at this year’s 3GSM was mobile Java. Mobile Streams investigated the topic and files the following analysis:

Middleware

Mobile Streams spoke to the leaders in Java service provisioning- 4thPass, Elata, Pixo and Mobilitec. Mobilitec has deployed its mPower platform at CSL in Hong Kong, whereas 4thPass is working with Telefonica Mobiles and Nextel. Elata and Pixo do not currently have public customer references for their Java products. 4thPass highlighted its bytecode scanning feature for anti-virus protection as a key differentiator of its Java provisioning platform. It also highlighted its download activity tracking feature where operators can charge flexibly via for example subscriptions, time based or the number of times a game is played. 4thPass does not earn transaction revenue but makes its money on a per seat/ subscriber basis and from a platform license.

Phones

There is a great deal of speculation as to how many Java enabled mobile phones will be deployed by the end of 2002. Alongside the i-appli devices in Japan and the Siemens SL45i and the Motorola A008, a key driver of Java phones will be the Nokia 6310i which is due to start shipping in the next couple of months. The 6310i adds Java and tri-band to the 6310 product. Speculation was that 100 million Java phones were expected by end 2002, with Nokia forecasting 50 m of its own devices would be Java enabled.

Applications

Most attention focused on games as the key application for Java with many companies developing Java games for mobile phones. 4thPass does not develop applications but has a MIDLET Alliance for third parties to join. Mobilitec had a wider vision of mobile Java and highlighted business applications such as stocks, horse racing and the like as other applications.

Summary

Mobile Streams believes that mobile Java is rightly a hot topic and it is easy to see why many of the mobile games companies in particular are grasping onto it as a better medium and richer environment than SMS and WAP for mobile gaming. Certainly in priority terms, Mobile Streams sees MMS as the key short term priority and then Java later this year and early next. Many companies will have a Java offering alongside an MMS, as per Akumiitti’s announcement at the show that it had a Java offering. Predictions of 100 million terminals by the end of the year are ambitious but if Motorola and Nokia deliver some mass market terminals then this goal could be approached. <<

- Eric -