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To: Lane3 who wrote (3301)3/17/2002 10:12:36 PM
From: Lazarus_Long  Respond to of 21057
 
Risk: 30 Benefit: 70

Good enough? Because that's probably about as good a guess as a 6-month governmental study would give you. There are way too many unknowns in a situation like this.

Will the Iraqi army quit like it did last time or will it stand and fight?
Will our involvement piss off a billion other Muslims and start the Mother Of All Wars?
If we defeat the Iraqis, will we get a peaceful occupation or will it look more like Palestine with a mad bomber behind every bush?

Who knows?

You takes you chances (or doesn't) and have to deal with the consequences either way.