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Politics : Foreign Affairs Discussion Group -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Nadine Carroll who wrote (21776)3/20/2002 6:41:21 AM
From: SirRealist  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 281500
 
I wasn't making a statement that any side knew best how to assess the other. I merely posted what the CSM reporter wrote, because the CSM is pretty objective imo.

To analogize: if we understand that a starving man might mistake a shark as breakfast, it does not suggest an outcome; it merely makes it easier to anticipate the actions of the starving man. (I won't go into the simplistic perceptions they have about the US leadership).

Historically, Israeli strategists have understood Israel's chances of survival get slim if drawn into a war of attrition, and Palestinians believe, after Lebanon, that they can provide just that type of war. The CSM article points to a fresh euphoria in the ranks of the latter. Psychologically, that's precisely when one can be most vulnerable due to overconfidence.

But I'm not into guessing games or extricating some great truth or moral value from that quagmire. I'm just passing on interesting reporting that may impact the near term course of the endless war.