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Strategies & Market Trends : Booms, Busts, and Recoveries -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: JBTFD who wrote (17081)3/20/2002 2:39:59 PM
From: LLCF  Respond to of 74559
 
<The only so called fact in that article is that if you take 5 year income averages and do some statistical hocus pocus to buffer out what he calls the business cycle's effect, that debt service ratio now is 1% less now than in 1980, when interest rates were close to all time highs. >

Yea, wonder in which situation it is easier to bail out the debtor??? LOL

DAK



To: JBTFD who wrote (17081)3/20/2002 2:56:36 PM
From: AC Flyer  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 74559
 
>>The difference between you and me is you want to believe, so you are willing to take at face value some article presenting your world view.<<

Oh, so that's the difference between you and me. I see.

The bears carry the burden of proof right now, imo. Open a newspaper, turn on a computer, it's right there in black and white - the economy is growing like stink. And that's in nominal dollars. In periods of deflation, GNP growth in nominal dollars understates actual growth measured in real (inflation-adjusted, or in this case deflation-adjusted) dollars. 5% nominal growth plus 2% deflation equals 7% real growth. There's something to chew on.



To: JBTFD who wrote (17081)3/20/2002 5:26:12 PM
From: Maurice Winn  Respond to of 74559
 
<Did you know that the dow first hit 100 in 1916, and didnt finally leave 100 behind until 1942? >

Gold standard, first world war, great depression, second world war.... it's not surprising.

Now, no gold standard, no world wars [a bunch of Arabs with box-cutters does not comprise a world war though they had spectacular success], no great or small depression and 6 billion people energizing the global economy.

Mqurice