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Strategies & Market Trends : Zeev's Turnips - No Politics -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: orkrious who wrote (42392)3/20/2002 6:38:22 PM
From: TREND1  Respond to of 99280
 
ork
>One other thought, won't rising interest rates put a crimp in the rally?<

That is only 1/2 the equation.

What will earnings do ?

Together we will know the market.IMHO.

Larry Dudash



To: orkrious who wrote (42392)3/20/2002 6:39:43 PM
From: jjstingray  Respond to of 99280
 
Sure, but the perception may be greater than the reality. If Greenspan raises rates, it signals to the world that our economy is growing fast. I don't think one or two rate hikes will do anything but give perception to the market that things are good. That being said, I think that perception will last a very short while and then the reality that interest rates are going up will "stun" the market.



To: orkrious who wrote (42392)3/20/2002 6:40:40 PM
From: Zeev Hed  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 99280
 
Yes, rising interest rate (if you remember one of the reasons I cited at the time for the June decline is a false step by the fed prematurely raising rate, or in other words, even starting to talk of rising rates) will crimp a rally, that is why I have only three to six weeks of a spring rally. You (the street) cannot engage in stock distribution when the market think we are in a bear phase, to get everyone to believe we are in a new bull move, the Dow will have to take out 11,000 and the Naz 2100, thus my outrageous highs for this year of 11,300 and 2250 respectively for those two indicators.

Zeev