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Strategies & Market Trends : VOLTAIRE'S PORCH-MODERATED -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: stockman_scott who wrote (48865)3/21/2002 3:12:24 PM
From: Jim Willie CB  Respond to of 65232
 
methinks Fed still doesnt understand how inflation occurs
they talk consistently about growth causing inflation
this is heretic, disturbing, inept, potentially disastrous

price inflation is caused by excessive money supply growth
last year they raised MZM by 20%, historically never seen
sure, MZM must compensate for burned capital
e.g. Enron debt, GlCrosseyes, KMart, Argentina, etc
but $1200 billion more than covers it

now FedMonkeys are issuing vague veiled warnings about raising rates
I believe they are scared of prospects of renewed growth
they see growth, and expect inflation
so they cut off the growth
they need to get shorterm rates back to 2.5-3.0%, no higher

this is frightening
cutting off growth prematurely will lead to stagnant conditions
and with money supply growth, lead to simultaneous inflation

this double edge mess is exactly why gold/silver are gonna skyrocket in the next 18 months
how many of you guys thought I was nuts to expect much higher crude oil and energy prices by this spring/summer?
even with tiny recovery so far, big jump in oil costs
combine energy inflation with systemic inflation, and WOW !!!

as investment environment becomes clouded by inflation, we will not be permitted the necessary growth to outrun it
and thus stagflation will result
we must have enough growth to produce more energy supplies
we must have enough growth to produce more profits for investment in capital equipment

conservative money will not be safe in bond securities
it will find a path into gold & silver

the next couple years are gonna be a rough ride
Greenspasm will go down in history imho as the most meddlesome and destructive chairman ever
/ jim