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Technology Stocks : How high will Microsoft fly? -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: David Howe who wrote (66306)	3/21/2002 4:10:37 PM
From: David Howe	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 74651

Baldur, Here's an example chart for your use. siliconinvestor.com Try every one of the 100 biggest and best tech companies on the Nasdaq and prove to yourself that MSFT outperformed 95% of them from the peak in early 2000. Have fun. Dave

To: David Howe who wrote (66306)	3/21/2002 6:32:48 PM
From: jonkai	Read Replies (2) \| Respond to of 74651

You WILL find that MSFT has fallen much less than almost every tech company. You WILL find that most tech companies have fallen 70 - 99% and that's if they are still listed on the Nasdaq 100. A VERY large number that were in this index back in early 2000 are bankrupt and no longer included in the index. you'll also find that MSFT didn't go up anywhere near any of those stocks, because it has become an underperformer for three going on four years now..... those other stocks dropped 70% some times 80% and still outperformed MSFT...... that is how badly MSFT did during the great bull market up leg and then how badly it did with it's peers on the way down, MSFT is flatlining compared to it's peers... you can still buy MSFT cheaper now than you could three years ago, where in general your other stocks you can not....... siliconinvestor.com quicken.com CSCO and DELL are in the same boat as MSFT..... the Telecom stocks and the .dot coms were obviously even more overpriced than even MSFT... intc just recently became overvalued (relative to when MSFT did).... and palm didn't even exist for the great bull market, so it never had a chance..... as you can see, MSFT is FLAT LINING compared to even stocks that got nailed 80%..... now that is sad..... jon.

To: David Howe who wrote (66306)	3/22/2002 2:56:32 AM
From: Baldur Fjvlnisson	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 74651

Thank you David. I stand corrected. 50% down and still outperforms 95% of the Nasdaq 100. Well, that says something for the U.S. tech wreck. And those wrecks still trade at a zillion times sales and book. 25-50 of them will never make it. Regards, BF

To: David Howe who wrote (66306)	3/22/2002 3:19:47 AM
From: Timetobuy	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 74651

Some haven't performed all that poorly in the last two years. Yes, they are well off their highs, they fell more than msft in Sept. but from Mar 2000, there are a few that have performed not all that shabbily. Symc wasn't in the ndx at the time, but it outperformed msft quite nicely. finance.yahoo.com I wasn't buying in March 2000, so I could care less what they've done since then. What's happened since they bottomed in Sept 2001? That's probably a better indicator of future growth. finance.yahoo.com Even looking back 5 years ago, these stocks have done quite nicely. finance.yahoo.com Can't compare them to msft in the mid 80's because they weren't trading then. There will come a time when these smaller companies perform like msft has but their smaller size probably allows them to continue with fairly high growth for a few more years.