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Technology Stocks : Voice-on-the-net (VON), VoIP, Internet (IP) Telephony -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Frank A. Coluccio who wrote (3032)4/29/2002 9:46:23 PM
From: Jay King  Respond to of 3178
 
Boom Times Ahead For DSP Chips Targeting Internet Telephony Apps

By Mark Long -- e-inSITE, 4/19/2002

Forward Concepts has unleashed a new market research report that details the market opportunities for DSP chips used in media gateways, customer premises equipment (CPE) of several types and wireless applications.

Entitled "VoIP & Packet Voice DSP Markets," the new study confirms that the telecom market is still in a recovery mode after going through a severe downturn last year. Among the bright spots in an otherwise dismal market, Internet Protocol (IP) PBX systems and associated IP phones began to take off dramatically, growing over 100 percent in 2001.

Forward Concepts projects that this particular market segment will continue to shine well in the future. In addition, the packet voice equipment market has almost completed the changeover from frame relay to VoIP implementation, claims the report, which projects that channel/port shipments will grow at a 116 percent compound annual rate from 12 million channels in 2001 to 560 million channels in 2006.

Wireless will constitute the largest VoIP market by 2006, claims report author Will Strauss, primarily in cellular applications as opposed to today's small wireless IP Telephony market, which is primarily based on WLANs and wireless local loop (WLL) implementations. The report also forecasts that the value of DSP chips and chipsets for VoIP will grow from $129 million last year to $1.4 billion in 2006, which represents a compound growth rate of 61 percent.

According to the report, media gateways and remote access concentrators currently account for the bulk of the market, with wire-line CPE markets well ahead of wireless. In addition, the report also addresses other CPE packet voice markets, including voice over cable (VoCable) and voice over DSL (VoDSL), including the integrated access devices (IADs) necessary for their implementation.

With the introduction of multi-line DSPs, called access communication processors (ACPs), the average port count per chip for media gateways and remote access concentrators (RACs) should increase from an average of 4.4 G.711 channels per chip to 88 channels per chip over the forecast period. Although the study estimates that the average selling price of chips and bundled software for the media gateway and RAC markets will grow at a 55 percent compound annual rate from $25 to $225 between now and 2006, the chip cost per channel is expected to decline at a rate of about 15 percent per year.

"Unlike other reports that forecast billions of minutes of packet voice use, this report is focused on hardware and chip implementation, including port and channel counts for virtually all VoIP equipment," said principal consultant and report author Will Strauss. "Although system revenues are included, it is the value of DSP chip technology in each of the many applications that is emphasized."

Earlier this week, In-Stat/MDR released its own DSP report, which forecasts that the evolution of wireless connectivity to support increased system capacities, improved voice quality, multimedia services, and high-speed data transfers is expected to drive annual revenue for digital signal processor (DSP) and microprocessor unit (MPU) high-end processors for base transceiver stations (BTSs) toward the billion dollar mark by 2005. To claim their share of the market, processor vendors must deliver economical systems via DSP and MPU chips that provide improved performance and reduced power dissipation, advises the research firm.

"Although a large number of BTSs have been built and installed, new BTSs and continuing improvements in data communications are requiring ever-increasing DSP and MPU performance levels, faster memory, greater flexibility, and higher integration," said Max Baron, a principal analyst at In-Stat/MDR.

Entitled "Digital Engines in Base Transceiver Stations," the new In-Stat/MDR study also projects that worldwide DSP shipments for end-use in BTSs will increase from approximately 2.8 million units in 2000, to 7.0 million by 2005. During the same period MPU shipments will increase from approximately 0.8 million to 2.4 million units. DSP unit increases during this period will involve new BTS shipments and upgrades of service using CDMA. In addition, Software Defined Radio (SDR), radiated power control, and adaptive methods for minimizing errors as well as an increasing number of concurrent users are all expected to fuel the demand for additional chip implementations.

e-insite.net



To: Frank A. Coluccio who wrote (3032)5/16/2002 12:45:43 PM
From: D. K. G.  Respond to of 3178
 
Voice Over Internet Protocol Sparks
Growth of New Phone Technology

By MARK HEINZL
Staff Reporter of THE WALL STREET JOURNAL

When Houston City Official Denny Piper wants to know who has phoned him, he checks his e-mail.

"I can see, oh, somebody left me a voicemail message, double click on it and it plays back the message," says Mr. Piper, the city's chief information officer.

To phone others, he can click on names on his laptop's contact list or dial by clicking on a phonelike image on the computer screen and "just talk to the microphone on the PC." His BlackBerry wireless e-mail device also lets him know who has called. "It's really neat stuff," Mr. Piper says.

Joining a small but growing number of organizations, Mr. Piper is leading the city of Houston's leap into the so-called next generation of voice technology. The city hired Cisco Systems Inc. to transform its functional but technologically disparate traditional phone network, including 43 separate voicemail systems, into a network that converges voice and data communication and will link the city's 400 facilities with 25,000 new phones.

Nortel Networks' virtual telephone, or "softphone," and Mitel Networks' "Web set" both use voice over Internet protocol, which transmits phone calls the same way Web pages and e-mails are sent.


Not any old phones, mind you. Organizations adopting converged networks are buying fancy gadgets called "IP phones," "Web sets," or ones without any handsets called "softphones," which turn a computer screen into a virtual phone and voicemail system. It is part of a broad trend where networking giant Cisco and its competitors such as Nortel Networks Corp., Lucent Technologies Inc., Siemens AG and others are pushing corporations and telecom carriers to install equipment that transmits phone calls the way Web pages and e-mails are sent.

At the heart of the proliferating new services is technology called voice over Internet protocol, or VOIP. Internet protocol technology sends information in digital packets and is usually associated with data transmission. But it is slowly catching on as a means to cost-effectively and flexibly transmit voice communication within corporate networks and in telecom carrier networks.

With such gear, these companies promise, corporate network users can conduct instant desktop video-conferencing sessions, turn their laptops into portable offices, or surf scaled-down Web pages on phones with displays that access the Internet, among other jazzy features.

Networking equipment makers, many running big losses, are sorely in need of a hit product. But they face many obstacles in marketing their new phone gear, such as the many overlaps with existing phone and Internet functions.

"We do our banking and stuff like that" on a Web set, a phone with a 4-square-inch display that accesses a mainly text version of the Internet, says Rudi Asseer, who recently installed Mitel Networks Corp. voice technology in his Ottawa scuba-diving shop, Dolphinos. Mr. Asseer says he has uploaded the office computers' contact information onto the phones, and eventually will be able to access his voicemail simply by speaking to the phone.

In a demonstration at Nortel's Brampton, Ontario, headquarters near Toronto, employees talk to colleagues -- who appear in a window on a video screen -- in another Nortel facility 200 miles away. While talking, colleagues at each end of the line can view the same Web page, watch or work on a Powerpoint presentation together, exchange text messages, or play a game of chess on the side.

On a business trip to Australia, Nortel marketing executive Dan Mangelsdorf says he dialed his laptop into Nortel's corporate network, and used a softphone with a headset to make calls, check his e-mails and voicemails, and receive any calls made to his business line in North Carolina. Certain callers can be let through, while others are prompted to leave a message.

Though many companies are "considering" adopting VOIP technology, only 13% of 693 companies surveyed recently are using or installing it, a Forrester Research study earlier this year found.

The current adoption rate is slow because existing corporate and telecom carrier networks, though often complex, are installed and operable. The smorgasbord of existing communication gizmos and phone features already allows calls to be forwarded to other numbers; calls to be screened with caller ID; and computer users to talk with and see one another at little or no cost through the Internet, though the connection can be poor.

Recent technology advances have vastly improved VOIP call clarity, but quality and reliability are "still not as good as the existing circuit-switch network" which carries the vast majority of phone calls, according to Forrester analyst Maribel Dolinov.

Some organizations installing VOIP technology say they aren't exactly sure what new applications they plan to provide with the new gear.

Resort real-estate concern Intrawest Corp. is installing a Cisco Systems converged network at its Squaw Valley hotel development partly to cater to the tech-savvy clientele from the San Francisco Bay area and provide high-speed Internet ports in each room. Still, the rooms' new-age IP phones, with large display screens and many buttons, provide "a challenge to keep it simple," Intrawest Vice President Tom Jacobson says. So the phones for now provide basic phone service, and the company plans eventually to roll out other phone-display features, which may include ski-condition reports and restaurant menus.

"We believe voice applications are going to be a significant killer app in the future," for consumers at home, and part of the much-ballyhooed convergence of home electronics, says Charles Salameh, a vice president with Bell Canada, controlled by Montreal telecom firm BCE Inc.

For example, he says, one day you could be on the couch watching baseball when a picture of your grandmother pops up on the television, and "you can decide" whether to take the call.

Write to Mark Heinzl at mark.heinzl@wsj.com

Updated May 16, 2002

online.wsj.com