To: Maurice Winn who wrote (17274 ) 3/23/2002 8:15:50 PM From: TobagoJack Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 74559 Hello Maurice, War is now being glorified by many, constituting a serious minority, and with abracadabra geewhizbangs and mumbo jumbo ancient kabooms. War is supposedly now clinical, without messy collateral mayhem, and will be viewable on multiple television channels via satellites in all corners of our planet, during our sandwich lunch. So far, only the ‘viewability’ is true, and given what we now know, all are targets, and not very clinical. War does a couple of things, and it generally runs its course to termination, by and by. War diverts valuable resources from some uses to other uses. War diverts energy and creativity the same way. War puts certain developments on hold, and speeds other developments. War changes outcomes and plans, except for Maurice, apparently. And war costs. I believe that the very fundamental layers of human motivations do not change, such as greed, vanity, and at least another five sins. I am guilty of at least two of the more practical faults. Because the fundamental layers of motivations do not change, history can serve as a guide to the cycles and super cycles. Your mother’s people had a saying, ‘peoples, after being united, will separate, and after being separated, will unite’. You should use all the intellect at your disposal, less the emotions, and locate our collective spot on the cycle chart. The well-known fork in the road is coming up, for wars of beliefs, trade, territory, resources, WAT, and what not. The road we take are not chosen by you or I, and are not chosen by electorates of the local or global investing sort. The path we take are chosen by our collective wise leaders. Think it out, place your bet, and if it involves buying a Lexus, do tell. Chugs, Jay P.S. Hong Kong is cloudy and drizzly today. My thinking is not appreciably dulled by weather, for I am not as troppo as I make myself out to be. I think events will work out without all of us skimming the depth of despair but, gad, nothing I see makes me want to take an unnecessary and certainly reward-lite chance. Valuations, by all traditional and therefore cyclical measures, are very high.